For Tuesday, May 27, I’m on four MLB home run props: Brandon Lowe, Pete Alonso, Rafael Devers, and Taylor Ward.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Tuesday.
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MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Tuesday, May 27
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:05 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Tampa Bay Rays” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” text=”Brandon Lowe Home Run (+450)”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:10 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”New York Mets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” text=”Pete Alonso Home Run (+325)”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:05 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Boston Red Sox” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” text=”Rafael Devers Home Run (+400)”][/teammatchup] |
| 9:40 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Angels” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” text=”Taylor Ward Home Run (+550)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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MLB Home Run Picks for May 27
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Brandon Lowe (+450)” subtext=”vs. Twins (SP: RHP Joe Ryan)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-tampa-bay-rays.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Brandon Lowe is on a hot streak, with three home runs across the past five games.
He’s in a great spot to hit another on Tuesday.
Twins starter Joe Ryan is a big-time fly-ball pitcher, allowing them at a 51% rate to left-handed hitters in his career.
The ballpark is great for lefty power, and the weather should be hitter-friendly, with high-80s temps and winds blowing out slightly.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop closer to +350.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Pete Alonso (+325)” subtext=”vs. White Sox (SP: RHP Jonathan Cannon)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
I don’t know what the sportsbooks are doing with Pete Alonso’s home run prop price, but I’m not going to argue with a gift.
The Mets’ slugger gets a matchup against White Sox starter Jonathan Cannon, who is a plus-matchup because of all the fly balls he allows (44% this season).
Alonso has been on a cold stretch, but his underlying 19.3% barrel rate indicates more home runs are on the way.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +300.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Rafael Devers (+400)” subtext=”at Brewers (SP: RHP Aaron Civale)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
The spot and the price for Rafael Devers are fantastic.
He gets a matchup against Brewers starter Aaron Civale, who has been crushed in two starts this season and is a big plus-matchup for left-handed power hitters.
The ballpark is good for southpaw sluggers, and Devers has been among the league’s best following his slow start — his underlying numbers are insane, mostly career-highs.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop closer to +300.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Taylor Ward (+550)” subtext=”vs. Yankees (SP: LHP Carlos Rodon)” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/laa.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
Taylor Ward has been among the league’s best power hitters this season, with 15 home runs in 52 games.
He’s in a good spot to hit another on Tuesday.
Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is a plus-matchup for right-handed power hitters, and I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +450.
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