Three NBA props tonight are well off our expert betting models — and they’re all plus-money picks.
Monday’s NBA playoff slate features two pivotal games: Celtics vs. Knicks in the East and Timberwolves vs. Warriors in the West. Both series stand at 2-1, with the Knicks and Timberwolves holding slight advantages going into tonight’s Game 4 matchups.
For bettors looking to capitalize on tonight’s NBA odds, our proprietary PRO Projections data uncovers key player props with strong edges against current market odds.
Let’s delve into all three plus-money over/under prop picks across Celtics vs. Knicks and Timberwolves vs. Warriors.
NBA Props Tonight: Over/Under Picks from PRO Projections
The first spotlight shines on the Celtics-Knicks clash tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Despite Karl-Anthony Towns’ uncharacteristically cold start from beyond the arc this series (1-for-7 on threes), our PRO Projections system pegs the big to drain at least 1.5 3s at +170 odds (Caesars), backed by a 1.9 made 3 estimate and a notable 20.4% advantage over market pricing.
Remember, Towns exploded for 11 made 3s over a three-game sample in the previous Pistons series, proving his potential as a threat from deep when it counts.
Later at 10 p.m. ET, the Timberwolves face the Warriors with two intriguing props from our dashboard. Starting point guard Mike Conley — while not renowned for rebounding — is projected to grab 2.9 boards tonight, making over 2.5 rebounds at +150, a valuable bet at Caesars.
Finally, with Stephen Curry sidelined for the Warriors’ offense, expect increased playmaking duties for Gary Payton II. Our model suggests he’ll dish out at least 1.5 assists (+155 at Caesars), slightly above market expectations with a 1.8 projection.
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.