mlb-best-bets-picks-predictions Pictured: Shea Langeliers

MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – May 9

With 15 games on the docket, baseball fans and bettors have plenty of options on Friday, May 9.

There are plenty of MLB props to choose from, several of which have betting value. Our MLB betting experts have looked the odds and made their MLB picks and predictions for today.

All that being said, our MLB best bets are below.

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MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions — 5/9

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Texas Rangers” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” secondfullname=”Detroit Tigers” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png”][/teammatchup] 6:40 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Chicago Cubs” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” secondfullname=”New York Mets” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png”][/teammatchup] 7:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”San Francisco Giants” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” secondfullname=”Minnesota Twins” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png”][/teammatchup] 8:10 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”New York Yankees” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” secondfullname=”Oakland Athletics” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png”][/teammatchup] 10:05 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Rangers vs Tigers Best Bet: System Favors Rangers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Rangers Moneyline (+225)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-texas-rangers.png” awayname=”Texas Rangers” awayslug=”texas-rangers” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/461059_det_n.png” homename=”Detroit Tigers” homeslug=”detroit-tigers” date=”Friday, May 9″ time=”6:40 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

Backing Patrick Corbin and fading Tarik Skubal certainly sounds like a risky proposition, but history tells us there’s value in making this bet.

This Bet Labs’ system exploits public bias by backing poor-performing road teams (teams under .500) that have lost consecutive games and also have low betting support (≤35% of moneyline bets), especially when they are facing teams that are .600 or better.

The market often over-adjusts in favor of the better team, creating value on the contrarian side. Despite a low win rate, the positive ROI stems from inflated moneyline payouts on these underdogs.

Pick: Rangers Moneyline (+225)



[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bet Labs’ Cubs vs Mets Best Bet: Trust Both Pitchers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 7.5 (+100)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-chicago-cubs.png” awayname=”Chicago Cubs” awayslug=”chicago-cubs” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-new-york-mets.png” homename=”New York Mets” homeslug=”new-york-mets” date=”Friday, May 9″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Bet Labs

Yes, 7.5 is a low number, but both Jameson Taillon and Clay Holmes are throwing well this season.

Taillon has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts, while Holmes has done so in four consecutive outings. Additionally, history is on our side.

Both teams have solid win percentages (51%–100%), but the public is heavily favoring the over (≤35% under bets). In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability. However, these teams also tend to have strong pitching staffs, which leads to a profitable edge on the under.

Pick: Under 7.5 (+100)



[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Giants vs Twins Best Bet: Ramos’ Odds Too Low”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs (+550)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-san-francisco-giants.png” awayname=”San Francisco Giants” awayslug=”san-francisco-giants” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/mind.png” homename=”Minnesota Twins” homeslug=”minnesota-twins” date=”Friday, May 9″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”Apple TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Grant Neiffer

Heliot Ramos is off to a slow start this season, but has a ton of pop and is in a great spot today.

The weather in Minnesota is great with temperatures in the low 80s and winds blowing out at 6 mph to center. The matchup vs. Chris Paddack is a good one as he’s been beat up by righty power in his career, allowing a large 1.46 HR/9 to go along with good fly ball and hard-contact numbers.

I have the true odds of Ramos homering today at under +500, making this a great EV bet.

Pick: Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs (+550)



[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Grant Neiffer’s Yankees vs Athletics Best Bet: Matchup Favors Langeliers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” awayname=”New York Yankees” awayslug=”new-york-yankees” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/oakd.png” homename=”Oakland Athletics” homeslug=”oakland-athletics” date=”Friday, May 9″ time=”10:05 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Grant Neiffer

This is one of my favorite bets today as the odds are way too high.

The matchup vs. Will Warren is great as Warren owns a massive 48% hard-contact rate in his career against righties and that’s in addition to above average fly ball and home run numbers. Sacramento is one of the best ballparks in the league for power and the weather is great with temperatures in the high 80s and wind blowing out slightly to center.

Shea Langeliers is a great power hitter and simply isn’t priced low enough today. I have the true odds of him homering a full 100 points lower today, which makes this a great EV bet.

Pick: Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450)



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