Aston Villa (19-9-9) and Manchester United (10-19-9) will face off today at 11:00 a.m. EDT at Old Trafford in Manchester, England.
Aston Villa is favored at a -135 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-170o / +135u) goals.
Let’s get into my Aston Villa vs. Man U prediction.
Aston Villa vs. Man U Odds, Prediction
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Aston Villa vs. Man U spread: -0.5 (-155), +0.5 (+11′)
Aston Villa vs. Man U over/under: 2.5 (-170o / +135u)
Aston Villa vs. Man U moneyline: Aston Villa -135, Draw +320, Man U +330
Aston Villa vs. Man U best bet: Aston Villa Moneyline
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Liverpool have already secured the title, and the three relegated teams are confirmed, so the biggest question left this season is who will qualify for European competitions. Currently in sixth place, Aston Villa are in line for a Europa League spot, but they’re just one point away from a Champions League berth.
Unai Emery’s side reached the quarterfinals of this year’s top European competition and are determined to remain among the continent’s elite. They have every reason to believe they belong: Villa have won seven of their last eight matches, with their only loss coming on the road against Manchester City.
This match could also mark Emiliano “Dibu” Martínez’s final appearance in goal for the Villans. The World Cup-winning Argentine looked visibly emotional in the 2-0 win over Tottenham last weekend, fueling speculation about his future at the club.
There’s also uncertainty surrounding Ollie Watkins, a striker reportedly on the radar of several Premier League giants. In the short term, though, one thing is certain: Marcus Rashford won’t feature for Villa against his parent club, Manchester United, due to injury. Youri Tielemans is also questionable after picking up a knock.
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The Europa League final loss to Tottenham ended Manchester United’s hopes for silverware this season and left morale at rock bottom. Head coach Ruben Amorim is under intense scrutiny, facing criticism from both fans and inside the locker room.
Sitting in 16th place, this final matchday caps off one of the worst campaigns in the club’s modern history. Nearly twice as many losses as wins, and a goal difference of -12 (42 scored, 54 conceded), is an embarrassing return for a team full of talent and backed by deep pockets.
The Red Devils head into this clash in dreadful form: six losses and two draws in their last eight Premier League games. Their most recent league win against a non-relegated team came back on January 26, against Fulham.
This could also be the last game in a United shirt for several underperforming players—most notably goalkeeper André Onana. What’s certain is that defenders Matthijs de Ligt and Lisandro Martínez will miss the match due to injury.
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Despite their struggles, United have dominated this fixture in recent years: they haven’t lost to Aston Villa since November 2022, with four wins and a draw. The Villans have managed just one win at Old Trafford in their last 13 visits (1 win, 1 draw, 11 losses).
That said, Old Trafford is no longer the fortress it once was. Since Christmas Day 2024, United have picked up only eight points at home and have a goal difference of -6.
On top of that, the team is coming off a crushing defeat to Tottenham and faces major uncertainty about who will remain after the upcoming squad overhaul.
In contrast, Aston Villa are wrapping up a fantastic season, having reached the Champions League quarterfinals. Unlike their opponents, they still have something to play for: a return to that same competition next year.
All signs point to Villa as the favorites, both in terms of odds and momentum. Expect them to dictate the pace of the match.
Aston Villa vs. Man U Pick: Aston Villa Moneyline
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