Saturday’s action-packed with betting goodies — MLB, Kentucky Derby, NHL and NBA playoffs and more. Let’s hit the diamond for an all-day card of data-driven best bets.
We’re diving into these six PRO baseball picks for May 3:
- 2 moneyline best bets
- 2 home run predictions
- 2 strikeout props
Saturday’s picks center around our premium MLB projection models, which pinged home run picks of +450 and +700, and tons of value elsewhere.
Best bets begin at 4:05 p.m. ET, so let’s dive into the actionable picks.
MLB Odds, Picks for 5/3
Moneyline Predictions
Turning to our moneyline selections, the Dodgers face off against the Braves in a good one tonight. The current line shows the Braves at -117 and the Dodgers at -102.
Despite the Braves’ slow season start, top experts and sharp bettors are supporting Atlanta, marking this as a value bet according to PRO Report.
PRO Pick: Braves Moneyline
Meanwhile, our second moneyline pick features the Diamondbacks and Phillies, two competitive National League teams. The Phillies are favored at -125 with Aaron Nola on the mound, but significant sharp action and big money are backing Arizona at +105. With Brandon Pfaadt pitching and the Diamondbacks’ sneaky strong performance this year, they present intriguing value as road visitors.
PRO Pick: Diamondbacks Moneyline
Home Run Predictions
For our home run picks, Kyle Tucker of the Cubs stands out at +450 against the Brewers. With eight home runs so far, our projections estimate a 0.26 probability of him hitting another, making this an appealing bet.
PRO Pick: Kyle Tucker Home Run (+450)
Another potential slugger is Gunnar Henderson of the Orioles, priced at +700 against the Royals. Although he has only hit three homers this season, his history of 65 home runs over the past two seasons makes the odds too attractive to ignore.
PRO Pick: Gunnar Henderson Home Run (+700)
Strikeout Props
In the strikeout props category, our top pick is Randy Vasquez of the Padres, projected to have under 3.5 strikeouts at -145 on DraftKings against the Pirates. With only 10 strikeouts over 27.1 innings and our models projecting just 2.74 strikeouts, it’s the best bet of any strikeout prop today.
PRO Pick: Randy Vazquez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
Additionally, Jameson Taillon, pitching for the Cubs against the Brewers, is expected to register under 4.5 strikeouts. Our data suggests an achievement of only 3.84 strikeouts, aligning well with our projections.
PRO Pick: Jameson Taillon Under 4.5 Strikeouts
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.