Astros vs Royals Prediction, Picks, Odds

The Kansas City Royals host the Houston Astros on Friday, April 25. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB.TV.

Find my Astros vs Royals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.

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Astros vs Royals picks: Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)

My Astros vs Royals best bet is on Seth Lugo. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.

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Astros vs Royals Odds

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Astros vs Royals Prediction, Betting Analysis

For Friday night’s matchup between the Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals, our top betting recommendation revolves around Royals pitcher Seth Lugo and his strikeout potential.

Based on the insights from our PRO Projections, which leverage proprietary betting data curated by our team of MLB experts, we have identified a significant edge in the strikeouts market. Specifically, we’re targeting Lugo to exceed 4.5 strikeouts, with attractive odds of +120 currently available at FanDuel.

Our expert projections place Lugo’s strikeout forecast at a healthy 4.7 for tonight’s game. Given the plus money nature of this bet, it presents a promising opportunity for long-term value. The numbers indicate a 5.3% advantage over the market.

The right-handed Lugo has the ability to eat up innings, pitching at least six frames in more than half of his starts this season. The Astros only strike out about 7.6 times at home, but that number climbs to 9.1 on the road. Also, their lineup is in the bottom 10 in terms of expected batting average. Digging even more into the challenges for Houston, the offense hits .239 against righties, and just .218 vs. southpaws.

The last time Lugo faced an Astros lineup, he twirled a beauty: seven innings, one earned run and nine strikeouts.

Pick: Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120)

Astros vs Royals Betting Trends

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