The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on April 18, 2025. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Yankees vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”My Yankees vs Rays Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/new-york-yankees” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/tb.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/tampa-bay-rays” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- Yankees vs Rays picks: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 HRs (+460)
My Yankees vs Rays best bet is for Junior Caminero to homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Odds, Pick
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- Yankees vs Rays ML: Yankees -120, Rays +100
- Yankees vs Rays Over/Under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Yankees vs Rays Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+140), Rays +1.5 (-165)
- Yankees vs Rays Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 HRs (+460)
Yankees vs Rays Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) | Stat | RHP Drew Rasmussen (TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 5.48/3.23 | ERA /xERA | 0.60/1.85 |
| 4.95/3.50 | FIP / xFIP | 1.40/2.74 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 0.73 |
| 17.2% | K-BB% | 24.1% |
| 53.8% | GB% | 47.2% |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 112 |
| 99 | Location+ | 105 |
Alex Kolodziej’s Yankees vs Rays Preview, Prediction
[subheader sizedown=”true” center=”false” text=”Yankees-Rays Betting Preview: Back This +460 Home Run Prop” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nyyd.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/new-york-yankees” link1follow=“false” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/tb.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/odds/tampa-bay-rays” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
Aaron Judge and the Yankees usually command the bulk of the attention for home run picks. However, for the Yankees vs. Rays matchup Friday, our data is much, much higher on a Rays player who might not be on everyone’s radar.
According to PRO Projections — which utilize proprietary betting data from our MLB experts to find betting edges by comparing odds, player projections and more to betting markets — Junior Caminero of the Rays is a strong candidate to hit a home run. His odds to homer are +460 on FanDuel, and our projections estimate a 0.27 chance, suggesting significant positive value compared to market expectations.
This season, Caminero has blasted five home runs and is statistically recognized as among the top hitters in baseball. Data from StatCast indicates that he ranks in the 80th percentile or higher in key metrics, such as bat speed, average exit velocity, hard-hit percentage and other key slugging statistics.
Furthermore, Caminero demonstrated his power by homering last night and exhibits a streaky nature — earlier this season, he had a streak of homering in three consecutive games. Consider him a viable option in this matchup against southpaw Carlos Rodon.
Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+460)
Yankees vs Rays Betting Trends
[bettingtrends title=”” gameid=”252543″ date=”20250418″][/bettingtrends]
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Yankees vs Rays Weather” center=”false”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”252543″ date=”20250418″][/gameforecast]
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