NBA Best Bets Today: Predictions, Picks, Odds for Friday, April 11

The NBA regular season resumes with a fully loaded slate this Friday, with a grand total of 15 matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts still dug into the latest odds and identified all the best value on the board.

Our betting experts have looked over the odds and made NBA picks for 5 of tonight’s contests. Continue below for our NBA best bets and predictions for Friday, April 11.

NBA Best Bets, Predictions, Picks, Odds: Friday, April 11

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Game	Time (ET)	Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Milwaukee Bucks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” secondfullname=”Detroit Pistons” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/343538_pistons.png”][/teammatchup]	7 p.m.	Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Charlotte Hornets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/charlotte-hornets-logo-updated-2023.png” secondfullname=”Boston Celtics” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/boston-celtics-logo-updated-2023.png”][/teammatchup]	7:30 p.m.	Jayson Tatum Under 38.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Toronto Raptors” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/tor.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Mavericks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/dal.png”][/teammatchup]	8:30 p.m.	Raptors +12 / Raptors ML
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”San Antonio Spurs” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/sas.png” secondfullname=”Phoenix Suns” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/875040_Suns.png”][/teammatchup]	10 p.m.	Harrison Barnes Over 15.5 Points
[teammatchup link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Houston Rockets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/hou.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Lakers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/lal.png”][/teammatchup]	10:30 p.m.	Luka Doncic Under 30.5 Points
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bucks vs. Pistons”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points (-115)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” awayname=”Milwaukee Bucks” awayslug=”milwaukee-bucks” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/343538_pistons.png” homename=”Detroit Pistons” homeslug=”detroit-pistons” date=”Friday, April 11″ time=”7 p.m. ET” network=”NBA TV” bookname=”ESPN BET” bookprimarylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/11/ESPNBET-rect-2colorway-e1700601975338.png” bookreviewslug=”espn-bet”][/gameheader]

By Joe Dellera

The Bucks face off against the Pistons in a critical game for both teams. The Pistons need to win both of these two games against the Bucks to secure the 5-seed, while Milwaukee needs just one win to lock in at the 5.

I expect a big game from Giannis tonight, with the thought if they can lock up the 5-seed now, then they can rest in the season finale.

Giannis has been a monster of late. He’s cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games averaging 31.1 over this stretch.

He’s also worked the Pistons. He’s scored 28 and 59 against them this season, and the 59 came in a game that Dame also didn’t play in.

This is a back-to-back for both teams. However, Giannis sat the entire fourth quarter against the Pelicans after racking up 28 in third. I project this to be a tightly contested game, and Giannis will get his.

Pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 27.5 Points (-115)

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[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Milwaukee Bucks” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” secondfullname=”Detroit Pistons” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/343538_pistons.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Charlotte Hornets” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/charlotte-hornets-logo-updated-2023.png” secondfullname=”Boston Celtics” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/boston-celtics-logo-updated-2023.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Toronto Raptors” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/tor.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Mavericks” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/dal.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”San Antonio Spurs” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/sas.png” secondfullname=”Phoenix Suns” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/875040_Suns.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#5″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Houston Rockets” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/hou.png” secondfullname=”Los Angeles Lakers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/lal.png”][/teammatchup]

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Hornets vs. Celtics”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jayson Tatum Under 38.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-120)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/charlotte-hornets-logo-updated-2023.png” awayname=”Charlotte Hornets” awayslug=”charlotte-hornets” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/boston-celtics-logo-updated-2023.png” homename=”Boston Celtics” homeslug=”boston-celtics” date=”Friday, April 11″ time=”7:30 p.m. ET” network=”NBA League Pass” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Charlie Wright

This is a fade on Jayson Tatum’s playing time. It’s a tremendous matchup and he gets a nice boost with Jaylen Brown ruled out, but there’s no reason to push him in a meaningless game ahead of the playoffs.

RotoGrinders has Tatum projected for 27 minutes here, which seems fair. Normal rotation for the 1st half, maybe some 3rd quarter minutes. It’s just hard to imagine Tatum playing in the 4th quarter. Boston is a 20-point favorite.

Miles Bridges has been ruled out. Charlotte’s team total is down to 96.5 at some places, which might be the lowest of the season. And there’s a chance Tatum doesn’t play the 2nd half regardless of the score.

Pick: Jayson Tatum Under 38.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-120)

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Raptors vs. Mavericks”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Raptors +12.5 (-110) / Raptors Moneyline (+450)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/tor.png” awayname=”Toronto Raptors” awayslug=”toronto-raptors” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/dal.png” homename=”Dallas Mavericks” homeslug=”dallas-mavericks” date=”Friday, April 11″ time=”8:30 p.m. ET” network=”NBA League Pass” bookname=”Fanatics Sportsbook” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/542724_Fanatics-banner-logo.png” bookreviewslug=”fanatics-sportsbook”][/gameheader]

By Michael Fiddle

The Raptors are locked into their spot in the draft order and have their star player Scotite Barnes not even listed on the injury report. The Mavericks are in a highly incentivized situation as they battle for the 9-seed with the Kings for a home game in the Play-In.

However, the Mavericks are coming off a game with no home court advantage against Luka and the Lakers, where they benched their point guard and player who has played the most minutes this season in Spencer Dinwiddie, and now are reliant on Naji Marshall as a lead playmaker.

Fade the Mavs’ lack of guard play, home court advantage, and desperation in a rollercoaster season. Toronto has been a top team ATS, without any draft incentive to lose. Take the Raps to cover again with a sprinkle on an outright win.

Pick: Raptors +12 (-110) / Raptors Moneyline (+450)

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Spurs vs. Suns”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Harrison Barnes Over 15.5 Points (-117)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/sas.png” awayname=”San Antonio Spurs” awayslug=”san-antonio-spurs” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/875040_Suns.png” homename=”Phoenix Suns” homeslug=”phoenix-suns” date=”Friday, April 11″ time=”10 p.m. ET” network=”NBA League Pass” bookname=”Caesars Sportsbook” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars-sportsbook”][/gameheader]

By Michael Arinze

The Spurs don’t have much to play for, given that they’re no longer in contention for a playoff spot. However, you wouldn’t know it the way Harrison Barnes is playing, as the Spurs forward is currently on a tear, averaging 25 points over his last six games. Those numbers are well above his season scoring average of 12.4.

During this recent run, we’ve also seen his playing time tick up to over 30 minutes on the floor, culminating with a 36-minute effort against the Warriors. It’s also worth noting that his season average is 27.3 per game, so there has clearly been a considerable jump.

Given his form, Barnes should get plenty of scoring opportunities on Friday night against a Suns team that ranks 27th in Defensive Efficiency, allowing 117.9 points per 100 possessions.

The total of 232.5 signals the potential for a high-scoring affair, and it wouldn’t surprise me if the Spurs keep things competitive as 5.5-point underdogs.

Look for Barnes to do his part and surpass his scoring prop of 15.5 points.

Pick: Harrison Barnes Over 15.5 Points (-117)

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Rockets vs. Lakers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Luka Doncic Under 30.5 Points (-120)” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/hou.png” awayname=”Houston Rockets” awayslug=”houston-rockets” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/lal.png” homename=”Los Angeles Lakers” homeslug=”los-angeles-lakers” date=”Friday, April 11″ time=”10:30 p.m. ET” network=”NBA TV” bookname=”BetMGM” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gameheader]

By Bryan Fonseca

I know, I know, but here’s the case.

The reason the Lakers are -10 to begin with is because Houston has nothing to play for. They’re locked in at the 2-seed. Luka Doncic won’t need to score 30 points.

Even so, Doncic has gone over 30.5 just twice in his last eight games.

This has no impact, in any way, on Houston’s seeding, and the Lakers absolutely need this, but I don’t think that means Doncic has to go over.

If the Lakers can end this early, he’ll be among those who sit, so you need Doncic to potentially get this done in three quarters.

Pick: Luka Doncic Under 30.5 Points (-120)

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