Interested in college basketball betting trends to get an edge for the NCAA Tournament? Texas vs. Xavier features three which have produced solid results historically.
The Longhorns and Bluejays meet Wednesday in the First Four, in Dayton, Ohio. Bet Labs and PRO both house betting systems, key angles great at predicting which picks boast the best edges based on backtested data.
The Texas vs. Xavier point spread features two neat betting patterns, while the over/under was highlighted by Action PRO college basketball models as well.
Get access to all three premium systems for the NCAA Tournament, and check out how the trends apply to Texas vs. Xavier odds Wednesday in the First Four below.
Texas vs. Xavier Basketball Odds
- Texas vs. Xavier spread: Xavier -2.5
- Texas vs. Xavier over/under: 151.5
Texas and Xavier meet in a neutral-site clash Wednesday, broadcast on truTV. Xavier is a small favorite against the spread. The winner of the 11-seeded tilt moves on to face No. 6 Illinois on Friday.
Let’s start with the first of two PRO Systems angles which highlight the betting line.
Xavier is backed by the “NCAA Tournament: Fading Trendy Underdogs” PRO System, which showcases a 54% win rate and a 6% ROI.
We found that underdogs between 1 and 8 points, in the First Four, Round of 64, and Round 32 are bad bets if they’re attracting a majority of the ticket count; these “trendy” ‘dogs have only covered about 46% of the bets. That’s bad news for Texas, which is getting more than half the bet slips to cover the 2.5-point spread at the time of writing.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1085301″ systemname=”NCAA Tournament: Fading Trendy Underdogs (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaab” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20week%20number%20or%20round%20is%20Round%20of%2064%20or%20Round%20of%2032%20or%20First%204%22%2C%22the%20spread%20is%20between%20-8%20and%200%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20in%20the%20NCAA%20Tournament%22%2C%22the%20spread%20%25%20is%20between%2024%25%20and%2049%25%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Postseason%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$798″ record=”102-88-3″ winpct=”54%”][/betlabsembed]
Conversely, Texas benefits from the “NCAA Tournament Slow Paced Dogs” PRO System, boasting a 56% win rate and an 8% ROI. Teams between +1 and +4.5 in the tourney which average fewer than 72.2 possessions per game typically fare well.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1085299″ systemname=”NCAA Tournament Slow Paced Dogs (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaab” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20spread%20is%20between%201%20and%204.5%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20in%20the%20NCAA%20Tournament%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20pace%20is%20between%200%20and%2072.2%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Postseason%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$3,068″ record=”178-136-11″ winpct=”57%”][/betlabsembed]
Meanwhile, the PRO System “Neutral Court Unders” is live on the Texas vs. Xavier under 151.5. This model post a 54% win rate over more than 2,000 bets. High-scoring neutral-site games with the public on the over has been a recipe for disaster – just what we’re seeing in our trackers for Wednesday with 61% of tickets on the over.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1050204″ systemname=”Neutral Court Unders (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaab” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20over%2Funder%20%25%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2050%25%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%20145%20and%20180%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20a%20neutral%20court%20%3D%20Y%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20in%20November%20or%20December%20or%20March%20or%20April%20or%20January%20or%20February%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$7,403″ record=”1122-961-19″ winpct=”54%”][/betlabsembed]
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