I’m using PRO Projections to make a plus-money goal scorer prediction for NHL Friday.
Our advanced hockey data put on a clinic last week, ripping off win after win on picks to score a goal. The same PRO Projections system flagged an edge on a skater for an anytime goal that’s not only large, but one of the biggest I’ve personally tracked since digging more into our hockey props.
NHL Friday includes six games. Our pick to click tonight is in the Avalanche vs. Flames matchup.
Let me explain why there’s value on tonight’s pick to click.
NHL Friday’s Expert Goal Scorer Prediction
NHL PRO Projections spotlighted a whole bunch of good bets to score a goal in the Flames vs. Avs game tonight.
Three of the five best edges tonight are in Colorado vs. Calgary.
However, one stands above the rest. And truly, tonight’s top pick is a definition of a good bet, both based on recent trends and the support of PRO’s expert-driven numbers.
Tonight’s big goal scorer edge that I’m betting is Avalanche center Brock Nelson (+270).
Nelson was traded to the Avalanche from the Islanders at the deadline. It’s admittedly been a slow start through three games.
The veteran forward chipped in with an assist in his first two games, but was held without a shot in both. In his last game, he finally got off three.
Nelson’s scored 20 goals already this season, and frankly due. Plus, we’re reaching a pivotal point in his anytime goal scorer market.
In his first game with Colorado, he was +240. Three games later, he’s priced even longer. Though the matchups aren’t the same, tonight’s versus Calgary has potential for a bunch of offense.
Tonight, Nelson is +270 at FanDuel to score any time against the Flames. NHL PRO Projections tab Nelson for 0.41 goals tonight, or a fair price closer to +140. It’s a 7.3% edge and the largest I’ve tracked since the season picked up a few weeks ago
Honestly, it might not be the last we cover Nelson in PRO Projections, especially if doesn’t score tonight. Our advanced data has been all over Nelson to score since he was traded.
I’d rather get ahead now.
PRO Projections Pick: Brock Nelson Goal +270
[quickslipbasic bookname=”FanDuel” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/53766_FanDuel@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/03/IMG_1724.jpeg” buttontext=”Instantly Tail Tonight’s PRO Projection Edge” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1380771504&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
_InlineAdBlock