The Vanderbilt Commodores take on the Georgia Bulldogs in Athens, GA. Tip-off is set for 12 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
Georgia is favored by 4.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -205. The total is set at 149.5 points.
Here are my Vanderbilt vs. Georgia predictions and college basketball picks for March 8, 2025.
Vanderbilt vs Georgia Predictions, Picks
My Pick: PASS | Lean Georgia
My Vanderbilt vs Georgia best bet is on the Bulldogs spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, find the best lines using our live NCAAB odds page.
Vanderbilt vs Georgia Final Odds
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- Vanderbilt vs Georgia spread: Georgia -5.5
- Vanderbilt vs Georgia over/under: 150.5 points
- Vanderbilt vs Georgia moneyline: Georgia -245, Vanderbilt +200
- Vanderbilt vs Georgia best bet: PASS | Lean Georgia
Spread
I’m passing on this game altogether. However, I’d lay the points with Georgia if I had to pick a side.
Moneyline
I’m passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I’m passing on the total.
My Pick: PASS | Lean Georgia
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[howtowatch gameid=”240934″ date=”20250308″][/howtowatch]
Vanderbilt vs Georgia NCAAB Game Preview
After three consecutive wins over Florida, Texas and South Carolina — the latter two on the road — Georgia has salvaged its NCAA Tournament chances. The Bulldogs are a near-lock for an at-large bid (Bart Torvik projects there’s a 99% chance).
Meanwhile, Vanderbilt recently ripped off its own three-game win streak over Ole Miss, Texas A&M and Missouri to ensure its at-large status (Torvik projects there’s a 95% chance).
These two are neck-and-neck in the SEC standings and will end up somewhere in the middle of the tournament field.
The point I’m getting at is that I don’t think there’s a real motivational edge for either squad, even with Georgia in a clear letdown spot, while Vanderbilt is in a bounce-back spot after losing to Arkansas on Tuesday.
These two offenses are similar in how they run on-ball screening actions, as they try to attack the rim. However, Georgia runs more high-low actions with Asa Newell, while Vanderbilt runs a more guard-friendly spread pick-and-roll attack behind AJ Hoggard and Jason Edwards.
I trust Georgia’s defense more in this schematic matchup.
The Bulldogs have a borderline-elite ball-screen coverage (.81 PPP allowed, 87th percentile, per Synergy) and rim (1.07 PPP allowed, 87th percentile, per Synergy) defense that does reasonably well in catch-and-shoot denial.
At the same time, the Commodores struggle in ball-screen coverage (.90 PPP allowed, 39th percentile, per Synergy) and allow a ton at the rim because they’re somewhat undersized on the interior (running 6-foot-7 and 6-foot-8 in the frontcourt).
That feels like a game-script where Georgia can swallow up Vanderbilt on the perimeter, but the Commodores won’t hang with the Bulldogs in the interior.
That said, I worry about the shot-volume battle, specifically in the turnover battle. Vanderbilt boasts the SEC’s best field goal attempt differential (+109) because the Commodores don’t turn the ball over and generate turnovers with their on-ball pressure.
Meanwhile, Georgia has a big turnover issue (19% turnover rate, 14th in SEC, per KenPom), and the Bulldogs’ aggressive ball-screen coverage defense might hurt them against the steady ball-handling Commodores, who do well in press offense (.98 PPP, 78th percentile, per Synergy).
Ultimately, I’ll pass on this game altogether. I’d likely lay the points with Georgia if I had to pick a side, as I like the half-court schematic matchup for the Dawgs, and they’re typically good at home (12-7 ATS on the year).
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