Best Adapted Screenplay Odds, Predictions | Oscars Favorites, Academy Awards Betting Guide

Who is favored to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars? Current odds list Conclave as the betting favorite to win the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay at -1800.

The Academy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, March 2 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. It will get started at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and hosted by Conan O’Brien.

Here’s everything you need to know about the Best Adapted Screenplay race at the 2025 Academy Awards.

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Best Adapted Screenplay Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Prob.
Conclave	-1800	94.74%
Nickel Boys	+900	10%
Emilia Perez	+1200	7.69%
A Complete Unknown	+2000	4.76%
Sing Sing	+2500	3.85%

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Conclave is the betting favorite to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars at -1800 odds.

Next up on the odds board is Nickel Boys at +900 odds to win Best Adapted Screenplay.

Other nominees include Emilia Perez, A Complete Unknown, and Sing Sing.

Emilia Perez is +1200 to win Best Adapted Screenplay, while A Complete Unknown and Sing Sing are +2000 and +2500, respectively, to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars.

Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions

Collin Whitchurch: Nickel Boys won the Best Adapted Screenplay award at the Writer’s Guild Award. However, Conclave was not eligible there.

Conclave did win at the BAFTAs, as well as an integral prize at the USC Scripters Awards.

Conclave has been a strong favorite in this category for several months, and without a strong contender emerging in any precursors, it’s the obvious choice.

Bet: None

Predicted Winner: Conclave

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2025 Oscars FAQ

When are the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars (97th Academy Awards) are scheduled for this Sunday, March 2, 2025.

Where are the 2025 Oscars held?

The 2025 Oscars will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.

Where to watch the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars will be broadcast on ABC.

Who is hosting the 2025 Oscars?

The 2025 Oscars will be hosted by Conan O’Brien.

Who is nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

The films nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars are Anora, The Brutalist, Conclave, A Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez, Wicked, The Substance, The Nickel Boys, Dune: Part Two, and I’m Still Here.

Who is favored to win at the 2025 Oscars?

Anora is the favorite for Best Picture, Sean Baker (Anora) is the favorite for Best Director, Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) is favored to win Best Actor, Demi Moore (The Substance) is favored to win Best Actress, Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) is favored to win Best Supporting Actor, and Zoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) is favored to win Best Supporting Actress.

Who won at the 2024 Oscars?

Christopher Nolan’s film “Oppenheimer” was the big winner at the 2024 Oscars. The film won Best Picture and had the most nominations (13) and overall wins (7). It also won Best Director (Nolan), Best Actor (Cillian Murphy), Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.), Best Original Score, Best Cinematography and Best Film Editing. Emma Stone won Best Actress for her role in “Poor Things,” while Da’Vine Joy Randolph won Best Supporting Actress for her role in “The Holdovers.”

Is Wicked nominated for an Oscar?

“Wicked” is nominated for Best Picture and has +5000 odds to win. Additionally, Cynthia Erivo has been nominated for Best Actress and Ariana Grande has been nominated for Best Supporting Actress.