As the intensity of college basketball conference play rises, so does the opportunity to leverage strategic betting systems that capitalize on public biases.
Our “Fade the Public in Big Conferences” system has proven dependable, hitting a 56% win rate against the spread over a substantial sample size. For tonight’s best bets, we’re honing in on a couple of key matchups that fit our model, ready to optimize Monday’s betting strategy.
Today’s PRO college basketball model picks are for Duke vs. Virginia and Utah vs. Kansas State. Let’s get into the analysis and two predictions to lock in.
NCAAB Predictions for Duke vs. Virginia, Utah vs. Kansas State
The essence of our system is rooted in identifying games where public sentiment heavily skews toward one side, leaving the less popular team undervalued.
In Power Five conference matchups, when one team garners 25% or less of the betting tickets, history shows that the unpopular choice has an impressive track record of covering the spread, under certain over/under ranges. While today’s slate might not be extensive, the quality of the picks should not be underestimated.
Despite having a mere 24% of the betting tickets in their favor, Virginia +13.5 is a play for tonight’s Fade the Public in Big Conferences PRO System. While the ticket count might suggest skepticism, our system’s historical performance underscores the potential for a sneaky play against the spread. The Cavaliers have covered seven of their last nine games, a span which includes three upsets.
PRO System Pick: Virginia ATS
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While the public loves betting favorites, a bunch of bet slips are rolling in on an underdog tonight, too: Kansas State (+2.5) at Utah.
Kansas State’s an extremely popular ‘dog, attracting 81% of bet slips. However, due to the major conference filter and where the total is sitting, favored Utah is the play to cover the spread tonight, using our proprietary system.
PRO System Pick: Utah ATS
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Get all the details from the PRO System below, and click on the model to view all the active college basketball picks for any given day!
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.