The St. Thomas Tommies take on the Omaha Mavericks in Omaha, NE. Tip-off is set for 8:05 p.m. ET on Summit League Network.
St. Thomas is favored by 2 points on the spread with a moneyline of -148. The total is set at 153.5 points.
Here are my St. Thomas vs. Omaha predictions and college basketball picks for January 23, 2025.
St. Thomas vs Omaha Prediction
My Pick: St. Thomas -3 or Better
My St. Thomas vs Omaha best bet is on the Tommies spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
St. Thomas vs Omaha Odds
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- St. Thomas vs Omaha spread: St. Thomas -2
- St. Thomas vs Omaha over/under: 153.5 points
- St. Thomas vs Omaha moneyline: St. Thomas -148, Omaha +124
- St. Thomas vs Omaha best bet: St. Thomas -3 or Better
Spread
I’m backing the Tommies to cover as short road favorites.
Moneyline
I’m passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I’m passing on the over/under.
My Pick: St. Thomas -3 or Better
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St. Thomas vs Omaha College Basketball Betting Preview
Shout out to the Mavericks for starting Summit League play 5-0, especially after losing scoring forward Frankie Fidler to Michigan State.
That said, I have some reservations about the sustainability of their success.
The Mavericks are shooting a scorching 45% from beyond the arc, while their opponents have shot only 31% from 3. Those splits aren’t something you can reasonably expect to continue indefinitely.
I’m also curious about their shot selection. They rely heavily on mid-range shots, which isn’t always the most efficient strategy, ranking near the bottom of the nation in rim-and-3 rate (80%, 241st nationally, per ShotQuality).
On the contrary, the Tommies are a highly-efficient Princeton-motion offense. They rank second nationally in rim-and-3 rate (95%, per ShotQuality) and lead the Summit in offensive efficiency (129, per KenPom).
That’s a problem for Omaha, which ranks sub-300th nationally in rim-and-3 PPP allowed (1.1, per ShotQuality). That doesn’t bode well against St. Thomas’ uber-disciplined, uber-efficient offense.
Meanwhile, I have questions about the Tommies’ defense, which allows too many rim-and-3 opportunities. However, they’ve been excellent at denying mid-range attempts, which — while typically an inefficient way to defend — should make the Mavericks’ mid-range-reliant attack uncomfortable.
Ultimately, the Mavericks are overvalued based on lucky shooting variance and are due for a loss.
Meanwhile, I think the Tommies are the class of the Summit League, and I think they’ll hand the Mavericks that much-deserved overdue regression loss, even on the road in a battle of undefeated Summit League squads.
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