We have a total of three NBA player props for this Wednesday, and our staff of basketball betting experts is focused on some key players who could be in line for noteworthy performances in tonight’s contests.
Read below for our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, January 15.
NBA Player Props for Wednesday, January 15
- Brook Lopez
- Ja Morant
- Mark Williams
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Brook Lopez Under 12.5 Points (-125)” subtext=”Magic vs Bucks, 7:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mil.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/milwaukee-bucks” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
This number seems to be inflated by Brook Lopez’ 21-point game last night against Sacramento. That was a better matchup, particularly for 3-point shooting. This is a much tougher spot.
Lopez expanded his outside shooting when he came to Milwaukee, and he’s leaned into it even more this season. Lopez has taken 54.5% of his shots from 3-point range, his most since 2018-19 (first season with the Bucks).
He’s scored 47.4% of his points from 3-pointers, which is again the 2nd most of his career. The slight change this season compared to that 2018-19 season is free throws.
Lopez has taken a career-low 1.3 free throws per game. He’s scored just 8.2% of his points from the charity stripe, which is easily a career low. He’s never been below 11%.
Lopez has also been assisted on a career-high 86% of his field goals. The lack of free throws and individual creation emphasizes his role as strictly a spot-up 3-point shooter.
That’s a tough gig against this Orlando squad. They have held opponents to the fewest made 3-pointers per game and the fewest attempts.
They have given up the fewest assists per game on the 3rd-lowest assisted field goal rate. Specifically against centers, Orlando has allowed the 4th-fewest points per game and the 6th-fewest made 3-pointers per game.
Lopez has performed well in a handful of games lately (Sacramento, Toronto, San Antonio), but they were all solid 3-point matchups. This is a challenging setup for his skill set.
Pick: Brook Lopez Under 12.5 Points (-125)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Ja Morant Under 7.5 Assists (-140)” subtext=”Grizzlies vs Spurs, 8:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/mem.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/memphis-grizzlies” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
By Nick Galaida
In three games since returning from injury, Ja Morant is averaging 3.7 assists and 8 potential assists per game.
Tonight, he will have to contend with a Spurs defense that has quietly been among the best in the NBA in recent weeks, allowing the 3rd-fewest points per 100 possessions across their last 8 games.
Morant simply hasn’t had enough volume as a facilitator of late to justify a market number this high. The math favors the under.
Pick: Ja Morant Under 7.5 Assists (-140)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Mark Williams Over 1.5 Assists (+110)” subtext=”Hornets vs Jazz, 9:00 p.m. ET” center=”false” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/charlotte-hornets-logo-updated-2023.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/odds/charlotte-hornets” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
I bet this a couple games back against the Lakers, but it ended up getting postponed.
This is a nice spot to run it back. Mark Williams isn’t a massive distributor, but he’s been way more involved offensively this season. He’s posted a career-high 21.3% usage rate and a career-high 18.8% assist rate.
Williams had been on an upward trajectory in terms of minutes as he worked his way back from a lengthy injury absence.
He has now played 20+ minutes in 7 straight games after being stuck in the teens for much of December. He’s averaging 2.6 assists on 3.9 potential assists in that stretch.
Utah has allowed the 5th-most assists per game and the 6th-highest assisted field goal rate. Only the Wizards have a worse defensive rating this season.
Pick: Mark Williams Over 1.5 Assists (+110)
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