Below, I have laid out my NFL player props for every game this weekend.
Since I only had to prepare for six games this week, I am able to attack a bevy of markets here. I’m all over the board here, with most of my action going to DraftKings this week.
Let’s lay out my picks for the NFL Wild Card Round.
NFL Player Prop Picks
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Houston Texans” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/hou.png” text=”Danielle Hunter Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-125)”][/teammatchup] |
| 8 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Pittsburgh Steelers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png” text=”Najee Harris Under 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Denver Broncos” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” text=”Bo Nix Over 22.5 Completions (-118)”][/teammatchup] |
| 4:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Green Bay Packers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” text=”Jordan Love Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-110)”][/teammatchup] |
| 8 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Washington Commanders” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/was.png” text=”Austin Ekeler Over 43.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Chargers vs. Texans”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sd.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Chargers” awayslug=”los-angeles-chargers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/hou.png” homename=”Houston Texans” homeslug=”houston-texans” date=”Saturday, Jan. 11″ time=”4:30 p.m. ET” network=””][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Danielle Hunter Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-125)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/hou.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Danielle Hunter had an incredible season for the Texans, generating the second-most pressures in the NFL with 12 sacks.
However, Hunter stayed under this total 73% of the time this season. The four games he did clear it were all against teams in the top half of the league in terms of tackle opportunities allowed to edge rushers. The Chargers, though, are in the bottom half of the league.
Hunter stayed under this number in all 11 games against teams in the bottom half like the Chargers, who have an excellent tackle duo in Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt. That will make it tougher for Hunter to get to Justin Herbert.
Also, the Chargers operate at the slowest pace in the league, which led them to average the fourth-fewest plays per game. Hunter could face fewer plays overall than normal here.
I’m projecting him closer to 2.8 tackles with around a 67% chance he stays under 3.5.
Pick: Danielle Hunter Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-125)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Steelers vs. Ravens”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png” awayname=”Pittsburgh Steelers” awayslug=”pittsburgh-steelers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/bal.png” homename=”Baltimore Ravens” homeslug=”baltimore-ravens” date=”Saturday, Jan. 11″ time=”8 p.m. ET” network=””][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Najee Harris Under 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
This isn’t a matchup I’m expecting Najee Harris to see a ton of work on the ground.
The Ravens have allowed the second-fewest rush attempts per game. They have forced teams into pass-heavy game scripts since they often get out to leads. Baltimore also has one of the best run defenses in the NFL.
The Steelers are 10-point ‘dogs at some books, so not only am I expecting less rushing volume overall from them, which lowers Najee’s projection, but he tends to concede more work to Jaylen Warren when the Steelers are trailing.
I’m projecting Harris closer to 10.8 rush attempts with around a 60% chance to stay under 11.5.
Pick: Najee Harris Under 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Broncos vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” awayname=”Denver Broncos” awayslug=”denver-broncos” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Sunday, Jan. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET” network=””][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Bo Nix Over 22.5 Completions (-118)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/fanduel” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
There are a couple of reasons why I like Bo Nix’s upside in this market here.
1) The Broncos should face a trailing game script against the Bills. Denver only trailed on 33% of its snaps but as 8.5-point underdogs, they’d be expected to trail around 54% of them. That’s a +21% difference which is the highest of all teams this weekend. That script should force them to pass at a much higher rate than usual.
2) Bills blitz at the sixth-lowest rate in the NFL. Nix completion rate is 14% higher when teams don’t blitz and he doesn’t throw downfield as much.
There are other factors that should force the Broncos to rely on quick short passes to move the ball down the field. I love Nix’s upside in this market.
Pick: Bo Nix Over 22.5 Completions (-118)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Packers vs. Eagles”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” awayname=”Green Bay Packers” awayslug=”green-bay-packers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/phi.png” homename=”Philadelphia Eagles” homeslug=”philadelphia-eagles” date=”Sunday, Jan. 12″ time=”4:30 p.m. ET” network=””][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Jordan Love Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-110)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
The Packers were the most run-heavy team in the NFL during the regular season if you look at early down pass rate in neutral situations.
Despite being road ‘dogs here, I still expect them to lean on the run game as much as possible especially considering how good the Eagles pass defense has been.
Also, Jordan Love will be without his top deep threat Christian Watson, who tore his ACL in Week 18. Love averaged 8.8 yards per attempt with Watson on the field but just 7.0 without him.
Love has also dealing with an elbow injury that caused him to lose some feeling in his hand. I’m assuming he’s totally over that but could have some lingering effects.
I like Love to stay under his passing yardage here.
Pick: Jordan Love Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-110)
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Commanders vs. Buccaneers”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/was.png” awayname=”Washington Commanders” awayslug=”washington-football-team” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/tb.png” homename=”Tampa Bay Buccaneers” homeslug=”tampa-bay-buccaneers” date=”Sunday, Jan. 12″ time=”8 p.m. ET” network=””][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Austin Ekeler Over 43.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/was.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Austin Ekeler was able to return to action last week after being out since Week 12 due to a concussion.
This is a matchup where the Commanders are three-point road ‘dogs and will likely have to be a bit more pass-heavy than usual, which I think sets up better for Ekeler over Brian Robinson Jr.
Tampa Bay has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game to opposing running backs. Ekeler has been very efficient both on the ground and as a receiver averaging a league high among running backs with 6.5 yards per touch.
With that, I like the idea of taking his rushing and receiving yards over so we can profit from any explosive plays he has, giving him a higher floor.
Ekeler cleared in 9 of 12 games this season, and we’ll bet on him doing it here in the playoffs.
Pick: Austin Ekeler Over 43.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)
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