Ohio State takes on Texas in Dallas on Friday night in the second College Football Playoff semifinal of the season.
The betting market doesn’t think it’ll be as close as last night’s electric matchup between Notre Dame and Penn State, but it should still be a good one.
Ohio State enters as a -6 favorite with the over/under sitting at 53.5.
Below, we’ve compiled 5 to use on PrizePicks and Underdog for Friday’s college football game from Rotogrinders — both from the NCAAF pick’em analysis page and the projections page. You can get all the plays with a Rotogrinders subscription.
College Football PrizePicks, Underdog Picks
In the table below, you’ll find each of our NCAAF staff’s top PrizePicks and Underdog plays for Friday’s Cotton Bowl. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific pick discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” text=”Quinshon Judkins”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” text=”Gee Scott”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#4″ firstfullname=”” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” text=”Quinn Ewers”][/teammatchup] |
| 7:30 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#5″ firstfullname=”” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” text=”Matthew Golden”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific recommendations come from the operator offering preferred odds as of writing.
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[subheader text=”Quinshon Judkins More Than 5.5 Receiving Yards (-114)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/113574_prizepicks1.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
This feels just way too low for a guy who, if he gets his hands on the ball, will likely make something good happen.
The timeshare with TreVeyon Henderson isn’t great, but that’s clearly baked in this line.
He’s gone over this number nearly every game he’s secured a catch, and looking at Texas’ recent opponents, they’ve had some success hitting their RBs out of the backfield.
Judkins didn’t get a pass last game, but that game script was wacky with OSU’s big lead. I’m really counting on one catch here. If we get that, I think we clear six yards and pick up the win.
Pick: Judkins More Than 5.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
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[subheader text=”Gee Scott More Than 11.5 Receiving Yards (-114)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/113574_prizepicks1.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Scott’s receiving production has been sporadic, but his route participation has been great for a number this low.
He ran the second-most routes on the team in Ohio State’s win over Oregon and the third-most routes in the Buckeyes’ first-round victory against Tennessee.
He’s also had long receptions of 26 and 30 yards in the two games, with the 30-yard reception being a designed target for him on the very first play of the game against Oregon.
I have him projected for 19 receiving yards.
Pick: Scott More Than 11.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
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[subheader text=”Quinn Ewers Less Than 239.5 Passing Yards (-117)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/113574_prizepicks1.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
If you take OT games out of the equation, Ewers has hit the over on this number in just two of his last seven games.
Texas doesn’t want to get into a track meet with Ohio State, so I suspect it’ll be very happy to keep the ball on the ground as much as possible here.
The Buckeyes also boast the second- and third-best passing yards per play and per completion metrics, respectively, in college football this season. Even last week against Oregon, Ohio State held Dillon Gabriel to under 300 yards passing in a game script that required the Ducks to throw nearly every down from the second quarter on.
As long as this game is close (and I suspect it will be), I don’t think Texas wants to make Ewers be the hero considering he has thrown an interception in four consecutive games and has 11 on the season.
Pick: Ewers Less Than 239.5 Passing Yards (-117)
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[subheader text=”Matthew Golden More Than 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/113574_prizepicks1.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Golden’s receiving prop continues to creep up, but they still aren’t giving him the respect he deserves. He’s the clear No. 1 option in this offense now, has hit this number in four of the last five games (almost hit it against Clemson with only two catches), and Texas is likely going to be trailing late in this game.
OSU has a solid group of DBs, but Golden has made play after play down the stretch and has some monster games. If books are offering alternate receiving lines, I also like the ladder up to 150.
Pick: Golden More Than 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
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