Action Network’s NFL Luck Rankings are in for the final time this season. Take a look below at the luckiest and unluckiest teams in the NFL for the 2024-25 regular season.
For more on how the Luck Rankings work, check out this detailed overview of the concept.
NFL Luck Rankings
Note: Luck % represents the win probability swing between a team’s expected winning percentage from their on-field performance and their actual winning percentage. Lucky teams may regress and could be overvalued by betting markets.
| RANK | TEAM | Luck % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
25.73%
|
|
| 2 |
14.82%
|
|
| 3 |
14.25%
|
|
| 4 |
12.66%
|
|
| 5 |
12.20%
|
|
| 6 |
11.71%
|
|
| 7 |
11.56%
|
|
| 8 |
10.34%
|
|
| 9 |
7.95%
|
|
| 10 |
6.50%
|
|
| 11 |
6.22%
|
|
| 12 |
5.28%
|
|
| 13 |
5.26%
|
|
| 14 |
2.79%
|
|
| 15 |
2.00%
|
|
| 16 |
-1.11%
|
|
| 17 |
-2.23%
|
|
| 18 |
-2.66%
|
|
| 19 |
-3.51%
|
|
| 20 |
-4.39%
|
|
| 21 |
-6.85%
|
|
| 22 |
-8.06%
|
|
| 23 |
-8.85%
|
|
| 24 |
-8.96%
|
|
| 25 |
-9.48%
|
|
| 26 |
-10.14%
|
|
| 27 |
-10.32%
|
|
| 28 |
-12.74%
|
|
| 29 |
-15.32%
|
|
| 30 |
-16.41%
|
|
| 31 |
-17.36%
|
|
| 32 |
-19.09%
|
_InlineAdBlock