For the final time this regular season, we’re covering the best anytime touchdown picks Sunday from the PRO touchdown tool.
Week 18 is a different challenge for touchdown scorers. However, experts are perfectly aware of how to price the lesser-known players getting action this week and are ready to deliver.
Sunday Week 18 features five super-strong picks from PRO touchdown projections to score a TD at any point, across four games (hint: there’s a juicy same-game parlay opportunity included). All touchdown selections are +500 or longer, highlighted by picks of +1400 and +1800!
Check out five huge mismatches to score Sunday in Week 18 using NFL expert Sean Koerner’s touchdown data.
NFL Touchdown Picks: Sunday Week 18 Predictions
We start with the biggest edge of the final regular-season Sunday in Commanders vs. Cowboys.
If you’ve listened to our experts on the Fantasy Flex podcast, you’re probably familiar with Koerner’s fondness for the Cowboys’ KaVontae Turpin in the touchdown market.
Dallas’ wide receiver and primary returner is one of the fastest players in the league and a threat to score on any touch. Now, given an increased role at WR with CeeDee Lamb out, Turpin looks primed to capitalize on more opportunities.
Turpin’s route-running participation was excellent last week despite the Cowboys’ lackluster offensive performance vs. the Eagles. He’ll be back home, in a dome, in a pass-heavy game script with his team a touchdown-sized underdog.
DraftKings prices Turpin +500 to score at any time Sunday, odds which imply about a 17% chance of getting in the endzone. PRO TD data is uber high on Turpin, clocking the speedster for 0.30 touchdowns vs. Washington.
PRO TD Projections Pick: KaVontae Turpin TD (+500)
Next up is Jacksonville Jaguars QB Mac Jones, a player I’ve personally been betting the past four weeks, to no avail.
Jones is more sneaky than anything in this market. Truthfully, there are games where he hasn’t had to scramble at all. However, he is fully capable of rushing one in, just as he did in his first start (vs. the Vikings) this season.
Jones has at least three rush attempts in five of the past seven games, including a season-high six carries last week.
The QB is +1400 to score vs. the Colts at FanDuel, which is an easy bet stacked up to Action PRO models projection of 0.15 touchdowns for Jones.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Mac Jones TD (+1400)
In the same game, Colts QB Joe Flacco is also a smart bet at 18/1.
It could be Flacco’s last game, so expect the unexpected. In terms of moving the ball, Flacco and the Colts should have no problem against a Jaguars defense playing for nothing.
Our fair prediction for Flacco is 0.12 touchdowns, so +1800 is one of the savviest plays on the board.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Joe Flacco TD (+1800)
It’s been a fall from grace for Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert, who boasts just two touchdowns — a far cry from his 21 total scores last year.
Projections aren’t giving up on Mostert in Week 18 with a playoff spot on the line.
Touchdown projections tab Mostert for 0.27 scores against the Jets, which produces a chunky edge stacked up to DraftKings odds of +500.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Raheem Mostert TD (+500)
Another running back projections are high on Sunday is Buccaneers RB Sean Tucker (+650).
He scored his first two touchdowns of his career vs. these same Saints, and projections were all over Tucker then.
Odds at Bet365 (6/1) imply about a 14% chance of an anytime touchdown for the rookie out of Syracuse. NFL PRO Projections forecast Tucker for about 0.21 touchdowns in Week 18.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Sean Tucker TD (+650)
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