One of the better projection edges of the bowl season goes off Friday when North Texas and Texas State meet in the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl.
Betting odds for Friday’s bowl game list Texas State double-digit favorites. The over/under, meanwhile, is one of the highest of the college football bowl season. The Mean Green and Bobcats kick off at 4 p.m. ET.
Expert projections help to make more accurate point spreads and totals. After submitting our line and over/under for North Texas vs. Texas State, one pick in particular sticks out.
Here’s where Action PRO models show value in the first of two bowl games on Friday.
First Responder Bowl Odds: North Texas vs Texas State Pick, Over/Under Prediction
Texas State has scored at least 38 points in four straight entering bowl season. Coach G.J. Kinne’s high-powered offense and its ability to blow opponents out warrants a -13.5 spread and over/under of 61.5 for the First Responder Bowl.
PRO Projections essentially think the scoreboard operator could be plenty busy onFriday, with a recommended look on the Texas State vs. North Texas game to go over the total.
The First Responder Bowl is one of a handful this bowl season with a total north of 60.
Data-driven projections reveal there’s some cushion to bet the over, as our fair total for Mean Green vs. Bobcats is more like 66.
North Texas and Texas State combined for a 16-8 over/under mark this season. It’s a B grade on the over from our proprietary data.
PRO Pick: First Responder Bowl Over
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