Monday Night Football presents a unique matchup in Week 16, with the Green Bay Packers hosting the New Orleans Saints, led by quarterback Spencer Rattler.
After comparing PRO player prop projections to odds available around the market, Action models flagged three big over/under edges.
Picks include an over/under for Rattler, plus additional predictions in a unique betting market.
Green Bay is a two-touchdown home favorite against New Orleans for Monday Night Football. Shifting from insights to action, let’s analyze where PRO’s data-fueled models show value for Saints vs. Packers props.
Monday Night Football Props: 3 Saints vs Packers Over/Under Picks
Rattler, a rookie out of South Carolina who started his college career at Oklahoma, subbed in for Jake Haener last weekend, and nearly led a comeback over Commanders.
Rattler’s an Arizona native and his team plays home games in a dome, so weather has never really been an issue.
The Lambeau Field weather report for Week 16, however, will be cold with light winds.
Though fading Rattler may be an obvious move, there’s a market where PRO Projections show value on the over: Rattler’s rushing yards.
Rattler’s rushing yards prop is 18.5 at FanDuel. Action PRO models essentially feel this one’s too low, pegging Rattler for about 21.
PRO Props Pick: Spencer Rattler Over 18.5 Rushing Yards
The top prop for Saints vs. Packers according to projections is Packers kicker Brandon McManus under 8.5 points (three for a field goal, one for an extra point).
Our numbers are more than a full point shy here, tabbing McManus for more like 7.39 points against the Saints tonight. Best odds for McManus under the total are at Caesars.
PRO Props Pick: Brandon McManus Under 8.5 Kicking Points
Finally, we turn to Saints placekicker Blake Grupe.
The Saints team total is extremely low for tonight, but we’re getting a bargain on Grupe’s points.
Odds at FanDuel are over/under 4.5 points tonight vs. the Packers. PRO Projections green light a play on the over, with a fair point total of about 5.4, offering a solid 8.9% edge over the market.
PRO Props Pick: Blake Grupe Over 4.5 Kicking Points
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