Merry Christmas, football fans!
One of the most fun betting markets PRO Projections find value in is NFL touchdowns. Our expert data is high on a couple picks for Christmas Day, when the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Kansas City Chiefs.
Action PRO TD data takes into account key insights like:
- Odds comparisons
- Player performance predictions
- Route-running stats and projections
- Edge percentage to determine best picks
For Christmas Day touchdown picks, PRO Projections spotlighted a couple picks at +600 and +260 worth considering.
Let’s see where the touchdown tool shows the best value for Christmas Day touchdown predictions.
NFL Touchdown Odds for 12/25: TD Picks for Chiefs vs. Steelers
Action PRO Projections flagged a player in Chiefs vs. Steelers who was also a hot commodity last week.
Chiefs tight end Noah Gray was an edge last week at around +450, and he is in Week 17 at a price of +600.
FanDuel’s 6-1 price tag implies about a 14% chance Gray finds the endzone Wednesday. After inputting our data, expert Sean Koerner and the Action Analytics Team predicts Gray for about 0.21 touchdowns per game, marking a solid edge over the market.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Noah Gray TD (+600)
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Meanwhile, we pivot to Gray’s teammate, wide receiver Xavier Worthy.
Worthy is +260 at FanDuel. It’s a solid price grab stacked up to PRO Projections forecast for the rookie, at 0.41 touchdowns per game.
Worthy is the most explosive weapon the Chiefs have and is no stranger to hitting paydirt, already with five touchdowns entering Week 17.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Xavier Worthy TD (+260)
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