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Saturday College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Updated CFP Predictions, Bowl Picks

We’re one day out from Selection Sunday and the unveiling of the College Football Playoff bracket and the bowl pairings.

So far, there already have been five bowl matchups announced: Hawaii (USF vs. San Jose State), Salute to Veterans (South Alabama vs. Western Michigan), Frisco (West Virginia vs. Memphis), Bahamas (Buffalo vs. Liberty) and Boca Raton (Western Kentucky vs. James Madison).

My next update will be following Saturday’s conference championships. See ya then.

These projections are based on the following conference champions: Oregon (Big Ten), Texas (SEC), SMU (ACC), Arizona State (Big 12) and Boise State (Mountain West). If any of those five teams don’t win their conference championships, then these projections might as well have been drawn in sand on the beach at high tide.

My latest Week 15 bowl projections include the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.

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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projected College Football Playoff Field” center=”true”][/subheader]

*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids

1
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Oregon Ducks” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Oregon*

Big Ten
2
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Texas Longhorns” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Texas*

SEC
3
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”SMU Mustangs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/smu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

SMU*

ACC
4
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Boise State Broncos” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/boise.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Boise State*

MW
5
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Notre Dame Fighting Irish” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/nd.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Notre Dame

Independent
6
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Penn State Nittany Lions” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/psu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Penn State

Big Ten
7
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Georgia Bulldogs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Georgia

SEC
8
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Ohio State Buckeyes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Ohio State

Big Ten
9
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Tennessee Volunteers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ten.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Tennessee

SEC
10
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Indiana Hoosiers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/iu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Indiana

Big Ten
11
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Alabama Crimson Tide” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Alabama

SEC
12
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Arizona State Sun Devils” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Arizona State*

Big 12

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff First Round” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Quarterfinals” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Semifinals” center=”true”][/subheader]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”CFP National Championship Prediction” center=”true”][/subheader]

[specialgamecard logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2024/08/2025-cfp-national-championship-game-logo-datemark.png” gamename=”National Championship” date=”Jan. 20″ location=”Atlanta, GA” firstdisplayname=”Oregon” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” firstodds=”-2″ seconddisplayname=”Georgia” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” logowidth=”250″ logoheight=”150″ gamefontsize=”1.3rem” firstfontsize=”1.5rem” secondfontsize=”1.5rem”][/specialgamecard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projections for All Other Bowl Games” center=”true”][/subheader]

Note: Teams with an asterisk are confirmed to be playing in their respective bowl games, according to Action Network’s Brett McMurphy.


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