Last Sunday’s 471-1 NFL breakout touchdown parlay was well worth the price of admission. I’m running it back Sunday of Week 14 with a data-driven, longshot touchdown parlay heavily influenced by PRO Projections.
Sunday’s parlay is priced at +12000, combining two anytime touchdown picks at FanDuel.
The TD odds for the players individually are both +1000 – and one made the cut for PRO Projections best touchdown picks for NFL Sunday.
Here’s a pair of under-the-radar touchdown scorers you should consider for Sunday, which produces a 120-1 parlay.
Parlay Picks for NFL Sunday: +12000 Touchdown Bet for Week 14
As a reminder, parlays of these nature should be much, much smaller bets than your average unit size and played with tempered expectations. With that said, let’s have some fun with a Week 14 touchdown bet supported by premium TD projections.
Two of three parlay legs in last week’s 471-1 prediction hit! Needless to say confidence is extremely high tailing NFL betting data powered by the legendary Sean Koerner.
I’ll admit it: Neither player listed below has a touchdown this season.
However, predictive modeling from our NFL experts help to locate which are primed to break out and score a touchdown. For instance, one of the two picks is a PRO Projections breakout candidate in a huge way for Week 14.
For Sunday’s two-leg, 120-1 parlay, both picks kick off in the early window.
The first leg is Jets rookie wide receiver Malachi Corley to score at any point vs. the Dolphins.
Corley was the 12th wide receiver taken in this past draft. The first 10 already have touchdowns as rookies, including Ricky Pearsall, who was shot in the chest a few months ago. AD Mitchell, the 11th WR scooped up, has been in range multiple times. In fact, the 26th WR taken — Malik Washington — has a touchdown, and he’s on the opposite sideline this Sunday. Corley frankly feels due.
Having a nose for the end zone is half the battle in this market. Corley should have a touchdown, but his first career NFL TD was wiped out back in Week 9 due to dropping the ball before the goal line.
Corley’s pre-touchdown blunder in Week 9 likely cost him a chance at surpassing Xavier Gipson earlier in the year. However, reading the tealeaves of last week’s snap count, there’s a good chance Corley’s officially out of the doghouse – he saw a season-high 41 against just 19 for Gipson.
Corley should avoid Jalen Ramsey on Sunday, and usage on sweeps and screens may see an uptick.
I really like this upcoming Sunday as Corley’s potential breakout, especially playing back in his home state of Florida.
PRO Pick: Malachi Corley TD (+1000)
We transition from a player aiming for their first ever touchdown, to a veteran looking for their first score in two years.
Action PRO Projections reveal Pittsburgh RB/WR Cordarrelle Patterson is highly underrated at +1000 in Browns vs. Steelers.
The price tag at FanDuel implies less than a 10% probability Patterson scores. Action PRO models give Patterson more like a 16% chance to find the endzone at any time vs. the Browns.
Patterson’s use has been scarce this year, but he hasn’t fizzled out of the Steelers offense by any means. He recorded a season-high six touches last weekend.
Patterson was rendered useless a couple weeks ago against the Browns in a snow game, but could be more useful down the stretch of the season for head coach Mike Tomlin if he wants to give the backfield a rest before a potential playoff run.
Russell Wilson has given the Steelers offense more juice since being named the starter, opening up a lot more opportunities for skill players to eat this season.
Patterson’s time may be arriving sooner than later, and who says it can’t come against a divisional rival playing on a short week?
PRO TD Projections Pick: Cordarrelle Patterson TD (+1000)
Parlay Price: +12000
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