college football-bowl projections-college football playoff-predictions-brett mcmurphy-picks-updated

College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Updated College Football Playoff Picks & Bowl Predictions

With the penultimate College Football Playoff rankings released tonight, here are my latest updated bowl projections. Yes, updated from the projections from Monday.

Why new projections only 24 hours since the last ones? Why not? Selection Sunday is a mere five days away.

Like Monday’s projections, these updated College Football Playoff and bowl projections are based on these teams winning their respective conference championships: Oregon (Big Ten), Texas (SEC), SMU (ACC), Arizona State (Big 12) and UNLV (Mountain West).

If those teams all win, then 11 of the 12 teams should be locked in: Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State and Penn State (Big Ten); Texas, Georgia and Tennessee (SEC); SMU (ACC); Arizona State (Big 12); UNLV (highest rated Group of Five champion) and independent Notre Dame.

I’m projecting Alabama gets the final spot over Miami and South Carolina. Don’t agree? Well, after Tuesday’s College Football Playoff rankings, I’ll have even more updated projections, based on those rankings.

Here are my latest Week 15 bowl projections, including the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projected College Football Playoff Field” center=”true”][/subheader]

*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids

1
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Oregon Ducks” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Oregon*

Big Ten
2
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Texas Longhorns” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Texas*

SEC
3
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”SMU Mustangs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/smu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

SMU*

ACC
4
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Arizona State*

Big 12
5
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Notre Dame Fighting Irish” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/nd.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Notre Dame

Independent
6
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Penn State Nittany Lions” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/psu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Penn State

Big Ten
7
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Georgia Bulldogs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Georgia

SEC
8
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Ohio State Buckeyes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Ohio State

Big Ten
9
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Tennessee Volunteers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ten.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Tennessee

SEC
10
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Indiana Hoosiers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/iu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Indiana

Big Ten
11
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Alabama Crimson Tide” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Alabama

SEC
12
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”UNLV Rebels” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/11/2021-UNLV-Rebels-Logo-100.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

UNLV*

MWC

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff First Round” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Quarterfinals” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Semifinals” center=”true”][/subheader]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”CFP National Championship Prediction” center=”true”][/subheader]

[specialgamecard logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2024/08/2025-cfp-national-championship-game-logo-datemark.png” gamename=”National Championship” date=”Jan. 20″ location=”Atlanta, GA” firstdisplayname=”Oregon” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” firstodds=”-2″ seconddisplayname=”Georgia” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” logowidth=”250″ logoheight=”150″ gamefontsize=”1.3rem” firstfontsize=”1.5rem” secondfontsize=”1.5rem”][/specialgamecard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projections for All Other Bowl Games” center=”true”][/subheader]


Premium Picks & Betting Analysis!
Best bets for every game
Massive player prop edges
Expert article analysis

Posted

in

by

Tags: