An NFL same-game parlay makes all the sense for Thursday considering the Thanksgiving promotions. For instance, FanDuel is running a No-Sweat SGP for Thursday’s football games; bet365 has a $25 offer for Dolphins vs. Packers; Caesars is offering boosts and more.
Here, we’re building a 3-leg, Thanksgiving SGP for Dolphins vs. Packers.
Picks are mostly fueled by PRO Projections, powered by The Action Analytics Team. For context, Thursday’s NFL same-game parlay is +4567.
Picks feature two touchdown scorers and a ladder on Tyreek Hill with the forecast at Lambeau Field on Thursday an important variable.
NFL Same-Game Parlay Thursday: Thanksgiving SGP for Dolphins vs. Packers
Thursday’s SGP, hinging on PRO data, includes an anytime touchdown prediction for each team.
How about we start with Action PRO models’ pick to click for the Packers?
WR Romeo Doubs won’t go Thursday. If you’re wondering which Packers skill players gets a bump from our advanced projections, look no further than Christian Watson.
Stacking up our odds to projections produces a bettable edge! FanDuel’s price is +230 for Watson to score, implying about a 30% chance the Packers WR scores at any point.
PRO Projections mark Watson down for a touchdown 41% of the time — a super healthy edge.
Flipping over to the Dolphins, backup running back Jaylen Wright (+600) to score at any point is actually the best PRO edge of the game for touchdown props.
Wright is a longshot now, but perhaps for only so long! The rookie is chewing into Raheem Mostert’s workload and just a few weeks ago saw action in the red zone.
Our prediction is Wright scores 18% of the time — notably higher than the market probability of 12.5%.
Finally, Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill to nab 6+ receptions (+118) rounds out the SGP for Miami vs. Green Bay.
Hill’s air yards and yards per reception are both down dramatically from last season. The Lambeau Field forecast Thursday of freezing temps and moderate winds wouldn’t immediately suggest Tua Tagovailoa, who craters in the snow, will all of a sudden stretch out his aDOT.
Hill has to get involved somehow. Adding 6+ grabs and hoping he’ll get peppered with passes, perhaps in a trailing game state, fares well as a plus-money parlay leg.
- Pick 1: Christian Watson TD (+230)
- Pick 2: Jaylen Wright TD (+600)
- Pick 3: Tyreek Hill 6+ Catches (+118)
SGP Price: +4567
_InlineAdBlock