Lipscomb upsetting Kentucky as a massive underdog leads a data-driven parlay for college basketball Tuesday.
Kentucky is a 20-point favorite. The odds we made for the game are much different and offer a glimpse into the foundation for a +3752, projection-fueled parlay at DrafKings using PRO Projections.
The parlay is a two-leg, moneyline parlay.
Projections reveal an edge betting the No. 9 Wildcats go down. Additionally, we’re including PRO Projections strongest pick of the day, which features a game in which the wrong team is favored.
College Basketball Picks: Lipscomb Beating Kentucky Leads Tuesday Parlay
That’s right: Our proprietary college basketball betting models show betting Lipscomb to beat Kentucky Tuesday is a solid bet.
Lipscomb vs. Kentucky odds Tuesday are Kentucky -20.5, with a moneyline of Kentucky -4500 and Lipscomb at +1700 (DraftKings). Those numbers are off from Action PRO models, which made the fair line Lipscomb +13.5, and the Lipscomb moneyline closer to a fair price of +812.
That alone is a B- edge from projections — and a green light for a pick, using projections’ suggested threshold of a bet (3.5% edge or B- grade)!
PRO Projections Pick: Lipscomb +1700
Overall, Lipscomb moneyline is the third-strongest moneyline edge at the time of writing, marking a strong — and spicy — prediction, driven by PRO data.
For those who want to spice it up even farther with a parlay, the next smartest route would be take UT Arlington to upset Missouri State.
UT Arlington is +2 against the spread and is +114 on the moneyline (DraftKings). Expert college basketball projections tab UT Arlington as a 3.5-point favorite, with a fair moneyline price of -155.
The spread and moneyline are both the strongest picks from projections in their respective categories. Both are A+ grades, the highest from our models.
PRO Projections Pick: UT Arlington +114
Taking our fair odds for Lipscomb (+821) and UT Arlington (-155) creates a true parlay price of about +1400.
Using odds from DraftKings produces a payout out of +3752.
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