I used a combination of my projections along with our Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner and double top-five finisher in fantasy football rankings accuracy Chris Raybon’s projections to build an anytime touchdown round robin of four players we’re each showing value on.
Let’s take a look at my Week 11 Anytime Touchdown Round Robin picks.
Remember, this is an extreme long shot for a reason — please bet responsibly.
NFL Anytime Touchdown Round Robin
Here are the four players in my Anytime Touchdown Round Robin, with their betting odds all available at BetMGM:
- De’Von Achane 2+ TDs +425
- DeVaughn Vele +425
- Will Dissly +425
- Kalif Raymond +850
Our fair odds average projection for these four players is as follows:
- De’Von Achane 2+ TDs +395
- DeVaughn Vele +330
- Will Dissly +350
- Kalif Raymond +700
I put a half unit on Achane (+475 at DraftKings), Vele and Dissly (+430 at FanDuel), and a quarter unit on Raymond.
For the six two-leg parlays of the round robin, I put 0.1 units on each.
For the four three-leg parlays of the round robin, I put 0.025 units on each.
And yes, I even sprinkled the four-leg full parlay for fun at +137367 odds.
This can be pretty pricey, and at these odds, you should expect to lose much more than you win. However, we do technically show value on each bet, so according to our projections, it is long-term profitable, it may just take a very long time to realize that value.
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