Three underdogs have a shot to pull off the upset on college basketball Saturday, according to PRO insights.
Therefore, we’re analyzing the three smartest underdog picks and plus-money predictions across a huge betting card for 11/16.
Also, Saturday’s three premium selections parlayed is a +3734 bet at FanDuel. When we plug in our PRO Projections odds for the three games, we get a true, fair parlay price of +1024 – a nice edge to capitalize on!
Games tip off at 12 p.m. ET and run through 3 p.m.
Let’s check out all three predictions, projections, spread and moneyline odds, how our parlay converter found an edge and more.
College Basketball Parlay Picks and Moneyline Predictions for 11/16
All three games were graded A+ strength picks on the moneyline utilizing PRO Projections.
We start with an ACC-Big East crossover tipping off at noon ET.
Xavier is a 5-point favorite against Wake Forest.
PRO Projections view the gap significantly narrower, lining Wake Forest closer to just a +1 underdog.
Moneyline odds are Wake Forest +180, implying the Demon Deacons win 35.7%. Our true odds for the game are +106, as we give Wake Forest more of a 48.5% chance to upset the Musketeers.
It’s an A+ edge on Wake Forest per our models.
At 2 p.m. ET, Indiana State is a 5.5-point ‘dog to Ball State. We made the line more like Indiana State +1.5, giving an A+ edge to the Sycamores.
The market isn’t giving a lot of respect to Indiana State, with moneyline odds of +205. Our odds for Indiana State to win outright are closer to +114.
Finally, Eastern Michigan vs. Cleveland State tips off at 3 p.m. Cleveland State is -8.5.
Models predict a closer game at Cleveland State -3.5.
Grabbing Eastern Michigan +340 is a smart play, stacked up to our fair line of +155.
In conclusion, all three underdogs are priced at +180 (Wake Forest), +205 (Indiana State) and +340 (Eastern Michigan). Our fair odds for the three games are +106, +114, and 155, respectively.
A parlay using the best sportsbook for pricing (FanDuel) produces a +3734 payout – much higher than our fair odds of +1024.
Parlay Price: +3734
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