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South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Picks and Predictions for Today, Nov. 9

The Vanderbilt Commodores enter their tenth game of the being doubted once again. They are 4.5-point underdogs as they get set to play host to the South Carolina Gamecocks.

To South Carolina’s credit, they have also defied the odds to earn a 5-3 record. They come into this matchup off two blowout victories against Texas A&M and Oklahoma.

However, now the Gamecocks must go on the road and face a Vanderbilt team that is 4-1 at home this season. The lone loss came by three against a No. 5 ranked Texas team.
So, which side should be on for this matchup? Let’s take a closer look to find out as I make my South Carolina vs Vanderbilt predictions and college football picks for Saturday, Nov. 9.

South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Odds

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  • South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Spread: South Carolina -6.5 · Vanderbilt +6.5
  • South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under: 45.5 Total Points
  • South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Moneyline: South Carolina ML -250 · Vanderbilt ML +190

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Prediction

My Vanderbilt vs South Carolina best bet is on the Gamecocks to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at DraftKings, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Moneyline

PASS

Against the Spread

South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Pick: South Carolina -4.5

Over/Under

PASS

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South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview: Good Matchup for Gamecocks

South Carolina’s offense is flying high coming into this matchup. It has put up 79 points over the last two weeks against respectable SEC competition, but a closer look at its numbers shows that its recent production may be an outlier.

The Gamecocks are a team that relies heavily on the ground game, rushing the ball at the 18th-highest rate in the nation. They do so through running back Raheim Sanders and quarterback LaNorris Sellers.

However, the duo has not led the most efficient attack, as South Carolina ranks 80th in yards per rush and 86th in Rushing Success Rate. While Sellers makes their attack dynamic, the Commodores are well prepared.

Vandy has been very solid against the rush, ranking 49th in yards per carry allowed and Rush Success Rate allowed. However, they will also have the edge in the trenches, as they outrank South Carolina in Line Yards, 31-76.

While the Gamecocks may regress on the ground, we’ve seen Sellers make strides as a passer in recent weeks. That’s where the Commodores can be exploited. Vandy ranks 124th in opponent completion percentage and 92nd in yards per pass allowed.

We’ve seen the Gamecocks be explosive through the air, forcing defenses to crowd the box. That should be the case here, except Vanderbilt’s secondary will not be able to hold up.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview: Can Pavia Magic Continue?

On the other side of the ball, the Commodores don’t match up all that well against the Gamecocks defense. Like South Carolina, Vandy is a team that keeps the ball on the ground a ton, and it does so through quarterback Diego Pavia.

Pavia leads the team in rushing and passing, but he will need to rely on his arm in this one. South Carolina ranks eighth in yards per rush allowed and has a massive edge up front, outranking the Commodores, 40-110, in Line Yards.

Getting things going through the air will not be the easiest task either. The Gamecocks sit 10th in Pass Success Rate allowed and are third in PFF’s coverage grades.

However, the passing struggles won’t end there for Vandy, as the Gamecocks will be able to create pressure on Pavia. South Carolina ranks fourth in sack rate, and its pressure on the pocket will amplify its edge in the trenches.

While Pavia has been magical at home this season, it’s hard to see him generating much offense for the Commodores in this one.

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Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Vanderbilt and South Carolina match up statistically:

South Carolina Offense vs. Vanderbilt Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 86 49
Line Yards 76 31
Pass Success 114 75
Havoc 128 36
Finishing Drives 93 97
Quality Drives 91 52
Vanderbilt Offense vs. South Carolina Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 100 69
Line Yards 112 40
Pass Success 26 10
Havoc 34 11
Finishing Drives 34 27
Quality Drives 18 21
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 50 99
PFF Coverage 3 59
Special Teams SP+ 44 5
Middle 8 97 69
Seconds per Play 27.2 (66) 31.0 (131)
Rush Rate 63% (18) 63% (12)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

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It’s hard to go against Pavia and the Commodores’ magic at home, but after a very tough schedule and so many big efforts, this could be the game where they look sluggish.

South Carolina’s offense has found its groove and can move the ball against Vandy in any manner.

However, the bigger edge is on the other side of the ball, as the Gamecocks defense has quietly been one of the best in the nation and has the potential to overwhelm Vandy’s offense here.

This number has risen since opening, and the Gamecocks are the side here. They should win comfortably.

Pick: South Carolina -4.5 (Play to -6)

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South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Start Time, How to Watch, Channel, Streaming, Location

Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
Date: Saturday, Nov. 9
Kickoff Time: 4:15 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: SEC Network

South Carolina heads to Nashville on Saturday, Nov. 9 to face Vanderbilt at 4:15 p.m. ET on SEC Network.

South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

  • 77% of bets and 96% of the money are on South Carolina to cover the spread
  • 95% of bets and 99% of the money on the moneyline are on South Carolina to win outright
  • 85% of bets and 74% of the money are on the over

Betting trends via our live, updating NCAAF public betting & money percentages page.

South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt Weather

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