In an early season college basketball clash, the Fairfield Stags will travel to face the Rhode Island Rams on November 4, 2024, at 8:00 p.m. ET.
The Stags, under head coach Chris Casey, aim to build on their previous season’s 24-13 record, whereas the Rams, led by head coach Archie Miller, look to rebound from a challenging 12-20 season.
A key matchup to watch will be between Fairfield’s standout transfer, Deon Perry from Loyola Maryland, and Rhode Island’s promising talent, David Green.
Last season, Fairfield boasted a respectable 16-19-1 record against the spread, while Rhode Island ended with a 12-19 mark against the line.
For bettors, this game presents intriguing opportunities, particularly given the change in betting lines. The spread initially opened at 9.5 but has shifted to 11.5, signaling notable betting activity. Another element to consider is the over/under set at 148.5.
Here’s a Fairfield at Rhode Island prediction and pick for this compelling college basketball matchup.
Fairfield vs. Rhode Island Odds
- Fairfield at Rhode Island Spread: Fairfield +11.5, -110 | Rhode Island -11.5, -110
- Fairfield at Rhode Island Over/Under: 148.5, -110 both ways
- Fairfield at Rhode Island Moneyline: Fairfield +520 | Rhode Island -750
The suggested best bet for this matchup leans towards Fairfield, taking the points with a spread of +11.5.
Our NCAAB power ratings — part of our proprietary PRO Projections — offer Fairfield a significant edge, placing an A- rating on this pick. According to our projections, the spread should be closer to Fairfield +7.5, indicating a considerable discrepancy from the current betting market.
A deeper examination of the line movement suggests sharp action might be influencing the spread. The shift from +9.5 to +11.5 insinuates professional bettors have likely capitalized on this gap, prompting adjustments by sportsbooks. Additionally, the gap between the betting percentages and money on Fairfield highlights a Big Money signal — a clear indication of professional wagers differing from the public consensus.
Despite Rhode Island’s home advantage, the substantial line shift and data-backed projections reveal a strategic edge in favoring Fairfield +11.5.
PRO Projections Pick: Fairfield Against the Spread
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