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College Football Bowl Projections Week 11: Brett McMurphy’s Picks, College Football Playoff Predictions

Only four weeks remain in the regular season, and already there are 45 bowl-eligible teams for the 82 spots.

There are another 26 five-win teams needing one win shy of joining the party, so it appears the bowl system should have enough six-win teams to fill all the spots.

On Tuesday night, the initial College Football Playoff selection committee rankings will be released to provide an early — but totally meaningless peek — look into how they rank the teams.

Why is it meaningless? Because for as much outcry over the selection committee’s rankings, none of the rankings will matter until we see what the final one looks like on Dec. 8.

Until then, here are my Week 11 bowl projections to tide you over.

Included in my bowl projections is the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.

Also, click on the link to download the free Action Network app. It’s the perfect place to check scores, track bets, and read analysis and news.

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projected College Football Playoff Field” center=”true”][/subheader]

*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids

1
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Oregon Ducks” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Oregon*

Big Ten
2
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Georgia Bulldogs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Georgia*

SEC
3
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Miami Hurricanes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/mfl.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Miami*

ACC
4
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”BYU Cougars” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/byu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

BYU*

Big 12
5
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Ohio State Buckeyes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Ohio State

Big Ten
6
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Texas Longhorns” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Texas

SEC
7
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Notre Dame Fighting Irish” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/nd.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Notre Dame

Independent
8
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Indiana Hoosiers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/iu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Indiana

Big Ten
9
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Texas A&M Aggies” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/txam.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Texas A&M

SEC
10
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Penn State Nittany Lions” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/psu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Penn State

Big Ten
11
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Boise State Broncos” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/boise.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Boise State*

MWC
12
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Tennessee Volunteers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ten.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Tennessee

SEC

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff First Round” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Quarterfinals” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Semifinals” center=”true”][/subheader]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”CFP National Championship Prediction” center=”true”][/subheader]

[specialgamecard logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2024/08/2025-cfp-national-championship-game-logo-datemark.png” gamename=”National Championship” date=”Jan. 20″ location=”Atlanta, GA” firstdisplayname=”Oregon” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” firstodds=”-0.5″ seconddisplayname=”Georgia” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” logowidth=”250″ logoheight=”150″ gamefontsize=”1.3rem” firstfontsize=”1.5rem” secondfontsize=”1.5rem”][/specialgamecard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projections for All Other Bowl Games” center=”true”][/subheader]

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