A whole bunch of NBA player props Wednesday are mispriced, according to Action PRO models.
Combine soft, early-season market odds with our experts’ analytical insights, and we get data-driven edges littered everywhere across PRO Report.
Below, we’ll cover 4 huge edges across a wide portfolio of categories: 3-point over/unders, point totals, and more.
Prop predictions featuring emerging talents like Ja Morant in Grizzlies vs. Jazz, Scoot Henderson in the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors matchup, and the dynamic Paolo Banchero in the Heat vs. Magic game, among others.
Let’s get into 4 smart NBA plays today, catching respected money.
NBA Prop Predictions, Projections, Odds, Plus-Money Picks Wednesday
Each of our selected picks is backed by comprehensive NBA projections, and they all received the coveted A+ grade from our models.
Perhaps the best part? Three of the four props are plus money selections at the time of writing.
Scoot Henderson Props, Pick
First up, Trail Blazers guard Scoot Henderson presents a compelling case for an over bet on his points.
Last season may have been challenging for Scoot, but betting odds for his points in the season opener are set at 12.5 with a +112 backing at Caesars. PRO Projections sharply contrast this, predicting Henderson to score around 16.9 points against the Warriors.
This presents a significant 38.6% edge, securing an A+ rating from our proprietary data models.
PRO Projections Prop Prediction: Scoot Henderson Over 12.5 Points
Paolo Banchero Props, Pick
Similarly, Magic star Paolo Banchero stands out with a distinct over/under advantage, this time from beyond the arc.
While betting markets have Banchero’s three-point over/under pegged at 1.5 makes, with plus money on the over, our projections anticipate Banchero knocking down around 3.2 against the Heat. This discrepancy provides a 36% edge, earning another A+ nod.
PRO Projections Prop Prediction: Paolo Banchero Over 1.5 Three-Pointers
Ja Morant Props, Pick
Turning to the Grizzlies, there’s a clear mismatch involving the team’s assist totals in the betting markets, beginning with Morant.
The odds are set at 7.5, whereas our projections estimate only 3.4, with +108 odds available at Caesars.
This mismatch is underscored by the presence of Marcus Smart on the team, whose own assist predictions contribute to this significant edge.
PRO Projections Prop Prediction: Ja Morant Under 7.5 Assists
Marcus Smart Props, Pick
Smart’s assist total vs. the Jazz is set at 3.5, yet we anticipate that he’ll register a much higher 6.7. The best odds for this prop can be found at -115 with FanDuel.
PRO Projections Prop Prediction: Marcus Smart Over 3.5 Assists
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.