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south carolina gamecocks vs oklahoma sooners-prediction-pick-odds-college football-saturday october 19

South Carolina vs Oklahoma Predictions and Picks: Sooners Have Advantage

The South Carolina Gamecocks (3-3, 1-3 SEC) head to Norman on Saturday to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (4-2, 1-2) in an SEC showdown. The game is set to kick off at 12:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network.

The SEC continues to pump out the most exhilarating games of each weekend, as South Carolina nearly upset Alabama in Week 7.

An upset victory over Kentucky in Week 2 was promising, but three consecutive conference losses have South Carolina in desperation mode with Texas A&M, Missouri and Clemson waiting in the second half of the schedule.

Oklahoma has yet to field a team at full health since an opening win over Temple. The Sooners enter Week 8 with only 2 losses on the schedule, as the defense has been the driving force behind 4 victories.

For Oklahoma to get back in the SEC race, injuries must be relieved on the offensive side of the ball.

Oklahoma will play host at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, where oddsmakers have installed the Gamecocks as a -1 favorite with a total of 41.5.

So, where does the betting value lie for this conference clash? Let’s break down my South Carolina vs Oklahoma predictions and college football picks for NCAAF Week 8

South Carolina vs Oklahoma Odds, Spread

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  • South Carolina vs Oklahoma spread: South Carolina -1
  • South Carolina vs Oklahoma over/under: 41 points
  • South Carolina vs Oklahoma moneyline: South Carolina -118
  • South Carolina vs Oklahoma pick: Oklahoma -1.5

My Oklahoma vs South Carolina best bet is on the Sooners spread, with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

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Beamer will return to Norman after serving as Oklahoma’s tight ends coach and assistant head coach from 2018-20.

Dating back to the coach’s time as an assistant at South Carolina, Beamer is familiar with Venables’ defenses due to rivalry games against Clemson.

There’s a case to be made that the Gamecocks have been a better defense than the Sooners thus far, ranking as a top-15 Havoc team in the nation. Only LSU has forced more fumbles, while 44 tackles for loss places South Carolina in the top 15 of all FBS defenses.

The struggles for the Gamecocks have come on the offensive side of the ball for coordinator Dowell Loggains.

Quarterback LaNorris Sellers has commanded an RPO offense that rushes with inside zone read concepts on 64% of snaps.

South Carolina ranks outside the 80 in rushing analytics, but a near-dead-last number in offensive momentum killer — a measurement of an offense’s ability to create a methodical drive — keeps the Gamecocks’ scoring chances low. Interceptions, fumbles, missed field goals, sacks, turnover on downs and 10-plus yard penalties all play a part in the ranking.

No offense has allowed more sacks than South Carolina at 26, while eight fumbles on the season is one of the sixth-worst numbers in FBS.

With a Havoc-Allowed rank of 131st, South Carolina has yet to play a game without crucial mistakes on offensive possessions.

The good news for Sellers is his ability to hit the explosive pass, as the Gamecocks rank top-20 in Passing EPA.

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Offensive injuries have dogged the Sooners all season, specifically at wide receiver position.

Quarterback Jackson Arnold began the season as the starting signal-caller behind an offensive line that fielded five new starters. With plans to redshirt Arnold for the remainder of the season, the offense is completely in the hands of freshman Michael Hawkins Jr.

The results have been subpar thus far, as Hawkins has struggled to move the chains through the air and on the ground.

Along with running back Jovantae Barnes, Hawkins has had minimal success running inside zone behind a Sooners offensive line that’s 120th in Line Yards.

Barnes has created no separation in 71 attempts, averaging just 2.8 yards after first contact.

Oklahoma ranks 133rd in creating explosive plays, a product of numerous injuries on the outside. Wide receiver Deion Burks will look to “defy the odds” in a return this week, along with Jalil Farooq. Both would be explosive elements missing from the Sooners offense.

On the other side, the nickel defense has been the backbone of the team through the first half, generating high marks against opposing rush attempts and a top-20 rank in pass-rush productivity.

Linebacker Danny Stutsman continues to lead the defense in tackles, while edge rushers R Mason Thomas and Ethan Downs have supplied 28 pressures.

Safeties Robert Spears-Jennings and Billy Bowman Jr. have also been elite in stopping second-level rushers from creating explosives, combining for 22 stops, per PFF.

South Carolina vs Oklahoma Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how South Carolina and Oklahoma match up statistically:

South Carolina Offense vs. Oklahoma Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 87 10
Line Yards 83 32
Pass Success 110 80
Havoc 131 27
Finishing Drives 95 39
Quality Drives 111 19
Oklahoma Offense vs. South Carolina Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 125 88
Line Yards 120 71
Pass Success 121 7
Havoc 114 13
Finishing Drives 92 77
Quality Drives 125 44
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 86 68
PFF Coverage 9 61
Special Teams SP+ 50 21
Middle 8 106 119
Seconds per Play 27.5 (67) 25.9 (40)
Rush Rate 64% (22) 56% (67)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

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The Oklahoma roster is well aware of the disappointment surrounding the team through the first half of the season. They held a players-only meeting on Sunday to get the roster on the same page.

The bigger question is whether or not the Sooners defense can shut down the RPO attack from Sellers and the Gamecocks offense.

Oklahoma has performed above the national average against inside zone, logging a successful play on 55% of opponent attempts.

The South Carolina defense has not been as fortunate in defending inside zone, generating a 51% Success Rate with a higher EPA rate than the Oklahoma defense.

The Sooners have also been elite in playing behind the line of scrimmage, preserving a top-15 rank in tackles for loss while matching South Carolina’s total of nine forced fumbles.

Oklahoma’s edge in defending inside zone will be the difference in a game without many points.

The Action Network projection for this game is Oklahoma at a touchdown if all wide receiver options are healthye. Monitor the status of Burks and Farooq, as each could add an element to the offense that hasn’t been available to Hawkins in weeks.

Pick: Oklahoma -3 or Better

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South Carolina vs Oklahoma Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch

Location: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Date: Saturday, Oct. 19
Kickoff Time: 12:45 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: SEC Network

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Oklahoma vs South Carolina Weather

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