Prop bets are the way to go for Lions vs. Cowboys picks utilizing PRO.
Sunday’s Week 6 NFC clash is one of, if not the best, game of the slate. Scheduled in the late-afternoon wind (4:25 p.m.) at AT&T Stadium, Lions vs. Cowboys features a pair of standout quarterbacks in Jared Goff and Dak Prescott.
With the Lions coming off a bye week holding a 3-1 record and the Cowboys standing at 3-2 after a Sunday night victory, there’s plenty at stake. The betting market has the Lions favored by about a field, and the game total is the highest of the week.
In such a tight contest, let’s dig deeper into the betting odds and expert insights that could shape your wagers.
Lions vs. Cowboys Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Lions vs. Cowboys spread: Lions -3
- Lions vs. Cowboys over/under: 52.5
- Lions vs. Cowboys moneyline: Lions -170, Cowboys +143
Spread
The Lions are favored by 3 or 3.5 points, depending on the shop.
Over/Under
The Lions vs. Cowboys over/under is 52.5, the highest of Week 6.
Moneyline
The moneyline for Week 6 has the Lions -170, Cowboys +143
Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction
Three player props stick out with solid edges for Detroit vs. Dallas. Goff and Prescott are both under the microscope.
Point Spread
We’ve observed big money leaning towards the Cowboys, attracting 48% of the money on 38% of the bets.
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Total
The Sharp Action signal is activated on the Lions vs. Cowboys over.
Odds to Win
The current market and our NFL power ratings project the moneyline value at DAL +136, indicating potential value in wagering on a Cowboys win despite the Lions’ position as favorites.
Our PRO Pick
With no true value in the spread, moneyline, or total markets, let’s dive into several prop bets with chunky edges.
PRO Projections recommend taking a 3.5% edge or better. Here are three for Lions vs. Cowboys:
Jared Goff Over/Under 33.5 Pass Attempts
Goff’s passing attempts is 33.5 vs. Dallas. PRO Projections peg Goff for more like 32.5 attempts.
The full attempt off the market is a 5.7% edge on Goff under 33.5 attempts (-110, BetMGM)
Jared Goff Over/Under 22.5 Completions
Another correlated play is Goff under 22.5 completions, as our number is an even 22.
Dak Prescott Over/Under 37.5 Pass Attempts
Switching gears to Prescott, Action PRO models set the Cowboys quarterback’s passing attempts a full attempt higher (38.5) than the market.
Cowboys vs. Lions Betting Trends
Here are some notable betting trends courtesy of researcher Evan Abrams:
- Over the last two seasons, totals of 50+ are 16-4 to the under and last three years, they are 34-14 to the under (71%).
- Dating back to last season, Goff has covered four straight road games and he is 13-3 ATS in his last 16 road games, losing to the Panthers, Ravens and Bears.
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