Our expert dashboard indicates a flurry of sharp for Sunday’s Vikings vs. Packers game, offering a valuable prediction to lock in Sunday.
The Vikings (3-0) are set to face the Packers (2-1) in Lambeau Field. The 1 p.m. ET clash features Vikings’ star quarterback Sam Darnold and wide receiver Justin Jefferson, pitted against the Packers’ impressive array of wide receivers.
With both teams showcasing strong records, this game promises high stakes and captivating action for an early-season division rivalry.
Let’s dive into the odds, betting insights, and expert picks for this matchup.
Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Picks, Predictions
[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/min.png” awayname=”Vikings” awayslug=”minnesota-vikings” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” homename=”Packers” homeslug=”green-bay-packers” date=”Sunday, Sep 29″ time=”1 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+3″ col1awayline=”-115″ col1hometext=”-3″ col1homeline=”-105″ col2awaytext=”44″ col2hometext=”44″ col2awayline=”-108o / -112u” col2homeline=”-108o / -112u” col3awaytext=”+125″ col3hometext=”-148″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/603379_Primary.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
- Vikings vs. Packers spread: Packers -3
- Vikings vs. Packers over/under: 44
- Vikings vs. Packers moneyline: Vikings +125, Packers -148
Spread
The spread is set with the Packers favored by 2.5 points at -115 odds, while the Vikings are +2.5 at -105. Both teams have played well so far this season despite navigating injuries on offense.
Over/Under
The over/under for the game is 43.5, with the over at -112 and the under at -110
Moneyline
On the moneyline, the Packers are favored at -148, while the Vikings present a compelling underdog value at +125.
Player Prop
Vikings RB Aaron Jones faces his former team. He has +900 odds to score 2+ TDs.
According to our PRO Projections, we give Jones a 12% chance to score at least twice. It’s a 2.5% edge, which ultimately falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%
Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
We’re using the weather to make the best Vikings vs. Packers prediction in PRO for NFL Week 4.
Point Spread
Two of our top NFL experts are betting on the Vikings, which indicates a strong belief in their ability to cover the spread.
We’ve tracked sharp money coming in on the Vikings, signaling that professional bettors see value in Minnesota’s +2.5 spread.
The Packers are a big-money side. Green Bay is getting 33% of the money and only 18% of the bets, concentrating a significant amount of the betting stakes on fewer tickets.
Also, our top NFL expert is siding with the Bears on the spread, further cementing the confidence in this pick.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227413″ date=”20240929″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
There’s sharp money coming in on the under, suggesting professional bettors anticipate a lower-scoring game. The weather may have something to do with it.
One specific PRO System, the “High Winds” model, which has a 57% win rate and a 10% ROI, supports betting the under when wind speeds in NFL games are 10+ mph. This particular system often thrives in conditions expected to affect passing efficiency, which could come into play given Green Bay’s weather conditions (12 mph).
[betlabsembed systemid=”900166″ systemname=”High Winds (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20average%20wind%20speed%20is%20between%2010%20and%2050%20mph%22%2C%22the%20temperature%20is%20between%2033%20and%2090%20degrees%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Postseason%20or%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$10,700″ record=”605-458-9″ winpct=”57%”][/betlabsembed]
Odds to Win
The Vikings are receiving an overwhelming 82% of the money and 64% of the bets, indicating that sharp bettors favor Minnesota to potentially pull off the upset.
Our PRO Pick
Utilizing PRO insights, sharp action, and favorable PRO Systems data, the best pick for this game is the under 43.5 total points. Historical trends and strategic betting angles, particularly around windy conditions at Lambeau Field, make this the most statistically supported wager.
Vikings vs. Packers Betting Trends
- The Vikings’ defense has been stingy under head coach Brian Flores to start the season. They are 3rd in EPA/play, 1st in total QB pressures, 1st in sacks, allowing 2 pass TD with 5 INT.
Vikings vs. Packers Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227413″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]
_InlineAdBlockRestart
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.