Action PRO models helped cash a +650 touchdown prop pick last week. A bigger payout (+1000) is on the early radar.
Week 4 of the NFL season is officially off and running. We’re diving into early-market touchdown prices to identify the best anytime TD picks before odds move later in the week.
While we’ll deliver our weekly, packaged PRO touchdown picks for Week 4 later this weekend, three big predictions already stand out.
And they’re all large edges.
Touchdown Picks: NFL Week 4 TD Predictions for Sunday
PRO’s top three touchdown picks are in these matchups: Bengals vs. Panthers, Browns vs. Raiders and Broncos vs. Jets
One of the predictions features a 10/1 gem. But we start with one of the largest edges of the season (hence why we’re getting these out early).
Touchdown Prediction No. 1 for NFL Week 4
The Raiders are at home and it’s all about buying low.
Raiders running back Zamir White is PRO Projections biggest edge heading into Week 4.
Although White is off to a slow start, we’re not ready to give up on him just yet.
According to FanDuel Sportsbook, White’s odds of scoring a touchdown are +230. Action PRO models expect White to score 0.39 touchdowns, offering an impressive 8.7% edge – one of the largest we’ve tracked this season.
PRO Projections Pick: Zamir White Touchdown (+230)
Touchdown Pick No. 2 for NFL Week 4
With Andy Dalton recharging the Panthers offense, projections reveal a sweet outlook for tight end Tommy Tremble.
At the time of writing, Caesars lists Tremble’s odds to score a touchdown at +480. According to PRO Projections, Tremble has an expected touchdown probability of 0.23, translating to a 6.3% betting edge.
PRO Projections Pick: Tommy Tremble Touchdown (+500)
Touchdown Pick No. 3 for NFL Week 4
Don’t sleep on Broncos running back Tyler Badie (+1000 at BetMGM).
He’s being treated like an afterthought, but we predict him to score about 0.15 of the time. He registered some success across his nine carries (70 yards), as regular Broncos back Jaleel McLaughlin struggled to get anything going on the ground (five carries, seven yards)
It’s a chunky edge just south of 6% on Badie, offering the best payout of the bunch.
PRO Projections Pick: Tyler Badie Touchdown (+1000)
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