Certain MLB markets have softened with football drawing more attention, creating golden opportunities for savvy bettors.
This Friday, we’ve gathered a boatload of home run picks with discernible edges using our exclusive PRO Projections.
Our dedicated team of MLB experts meticulously analyze betting odds, player projections, and more to surface these invaluable insights.
In this particular slice of the MLB action, five hitters stand out across four exciting games—with all odds standing at +800 or higher, making these picks tantalizing longshots for your consideration.
Home Run Picks, MLB HR Predictions 9/20
Before diving into the specifics, it’s worth noting that today’s games include a particularly homer-friendly venue: Great American Ball Park, where the Pirates clash with the Reds.
Now, let’s delve into our targeted home run picks and predictions.
Home Run Prediction for Phillies vs. Mets: Bet Jose Iglesias
We spotlight Jose Iglesias from the New York Mets.
Home run odds for Iglesias come in at +1400. Our PRO Projections estimate a 0.15 probability for Iglesias to hit a long ball, establishing a robust 7.3% edge.
This high-risk, high-reward pick could deliver significant returns, making Iglesias a captivating option in our home run predictions for today’s games.
PRO Props Edge: Jose Iglesias HR (+1400)
Home Run Pick for Braves vs. Marlins: Bet Griffin Conine
Our top pick for today is Griffin Conine from the Miami Marlins.
Betting odds for Conine to hit a home run today are set at a lucrative +1200 according to BetMGM. Using PRO Projections, we estimate Conine’s likelihood of hitting a homer at 0.17, translating to a compelling 7.9% edge.
This particular prediction earns a B- grade from our experts, making Conine a fascinating choice to consider for today’s MLB picks.
PRO Props Edge: Griffin Conine HR (+1200)
Home Run Prediction No. 1 for Pirates vs. Reds: Bet TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl of the Cincinnati Reds emerges as another prime candidate, and he’s playing in the aforementioned homer-friendly park.
With home run odds of +800 on FanDuel, our projections place Friedl’s home run probability at 0.21.
This projection delivers a strong 7.8% edge, emphasizing the high-value opportunity in today’s game. Given the favorable conditions of Great American Ball Park, Friedl’s home run potential is particularly noteworthy as part of our home run picks for Friday.
PRO Props Edge: TJ Friedl HR (+800)
Home Run Pick for Tigers vs. Orioles: Bet Kerry Carpenter
Next up, we have Kerry Carpenter from the Detroit Tigers, available at +870 odds on FanDuel.
Our projections show Carpenter’s home run potential at 0.19, matching up to a 7.8% edge. As part of our home run predictions, Carpenter’s solid probability and attractive odds combine to make him a very viable pick for anyone looking to make calculated, data-backed bets.
PRO Props Edge: Kerry Carpenter HR (+870)
Home Run Prediction No. 2 for Pirates vs. Reds: Bet Isaiah Kiner-Falefa
Competing at Great American Ball Park, Isaiah Kiner-Falefa from the Pittsburgh Pirates is another player to watch.
With odds placed at +1050 on FanDuel, his projected home run probability stands at 0.17, corresponding to a 7.8% edge.
Kiner-Falefa shines as a hidden gem among our Friday home run picks. Playing in a venue known for its homer-friendly conditions could further amplify his chances and value.
PRO Props Edge: Isaiah Kiner-Falefa HR (+1050)
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