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College Football Bowl Projections for Week 4: Brett McMurphy’s College Football Playoff Predictions, Bowl Picks

As we near the quarter pole of the college football season, the best aspect of the expanded College Football Playoff is the unpredictability of who makes the 12-team field.

No longer will the college football season resemble Major League Baseball where 90% of the teams are eliminated from the postseason after the first month.

The beauty of the new format is there will legitimately be a minimum of two dozen teams in the running for an at-large or conference title bid in late November.

That brings me to this week’s bowl projections.

Projecting the Group of Five’s highest-ranked conference champion is a weekly crapshoot. Northern Illinois remains my pick, thanks to its win over Notre Dame. But one could make a convincing argument for UNLV, Memphis or Toledo — heck, it would shorter to list the teams not in the running.

Anyway, onto this week’s bowl projections. And remember, if you disagree with them, they’ll be different next week.

Included in my bowl projections is the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.

Also, click on the link to download the free Action Network app. It’s the perfect place to check scores, track bets, and read analysis and news.

*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids

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College Football Bowl Projections for Week 4

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projected College Football Playoff Field” center=”true”][/subheader]

1
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Georgia Bulldogs” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Georgia*

SEC
2
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Ohio State Buckeyes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/osu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Ohio State*

Big Ten
3
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Miami Hurricanes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/mfl.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Miami*

ACC
4
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Utah Utes” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uth.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Utah*

Big 12
5
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Texas Longhorns” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tex.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Texas

SEC
6
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Alabama Crimson Tide” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Alabama

SEC
7
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Ole Miss Rebels” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/mis.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Ole Miss

SEC
8
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Tennessee Volunteers” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ten.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Tennessee

SEC
9
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Oregon Ducks” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ore.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Oregon

Big Ten
10
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Penn State Nittany Lions” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/psu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Penn State

Big Ten
11
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”USC Trojans” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/11/2021-USC-Logo-100.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

USC

Big Ten
12
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” fullname=”Northern Illinois Huskies” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/niu.png” width=”36″ height=”36″][/teamlogo]

Northern Illinois*

MAC

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff First Round” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Quarterfinals” center=”true”][/subheader]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”College Football Playoff Semifinals” center=”true”][/subheader]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”CFP National Championship Prediction” center=”true”][/subheader]

[specialgamecard logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2024/08/2025-cfp-national-championship-game-logo-datemark.png” gamename=”National Championship” date=”Jan. 20″ location=”Atlanta, GA” firstdisplayname=”Georgia” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” firstodds=”-5.5″ seconddisplayname=”Alabama” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/12/Alabama-alternate-logo-100-100.png” logowidth=”250″ logoheight=”150″ gamefontsize=”1.3rem” firstfontsize=”1.5rem” secondfontsize=”1.5rem”][/specialgamecard]


[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Projections for All Other Bowl Games” center=”true”][/subheader]


**Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids

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