We have another light two-game slate scheduled in the WNBA this Sunday, with Aces-Sky set to tipoff the action at 12 p.m. ET, and then we’ll close out the week with Sparks-Wings at 4 p.m. ET. Our basketball betting experts have locked in four picks and predictions for today’s duo of matchups.
Let’s get to our WNBA best bets for Sunday, August 25.
WNBA Best Bets for Sunday, Aug. 25
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | 12 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | 12 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | 4 p.m. | |
| [teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | 4 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Michael Fiddle’s Aces vs. Sky Best Bet”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Over 168.5 (-108)” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” awayname=”Las Vegas Aces” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png” homename=”Chicago Sky” date=”Sunday, Aug. 25″ time=”12 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
Here we have a battle between a team that can put up nearly 100 points in any given game in the Las Vegas Aces, and an opponent that may struggle to break 50 in the Chicago Sky. The total for this game lands right between normal Aces games priced in the mid 170s and Sky games priced around 160.
I lean towards the over because the Aces play with so much pace, I think the sheer amount of possessions leads towards an over. A secondary indicator is the line movement towards the Aces, where overs and favorites covering are correlated outcomes.
Since the spread has moved 1.5 points, and the total only one point since open, I think the over is the best remaining angle for this game.
Pick: Over 168.5 (-108)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Joe Dellera’s Aces vs. Sky Best Bet”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”A’ja Wilson Over 26.5 Points (-115)” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” awayname=”Las Vegas Aces” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png” homename=”Chicago Sky” date=”Sunday, Aug. 25″ time=”12 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
By Joe Dellera
A’ja Wilson should excel again against the rookie backcourt of the Sky. She’s scored 31 and 28 in two games against Reese and Cardoso so far this season and the Aces need to get back on track after dropping the last two to the Lynx.
A’ja is averaging 26.8 ppg and has exceeded this line in 68% of games. She’s even better in wins where she averages 27.4 with a 76% hit rate.
I’ll back A’ja to exceed 25.5 points on Sunday and it’s playable at 26.5 as well
Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 26.5 Points (-115)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Michael Fiddle’s Sparks vs. Wings Best Bet”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Under 169.5 (-110)” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Sparks” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png” homename=”Dallas Wings” date=”Sunday, Aug. 25″ time=”4 p.m. ET” network=”NBA TV” bookname=”DraftKings ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gameheader]
This is a rare moment I am going against the market movement. This total opened at 166.5 and has climbed to 169.5. I understand the move since open, because the Sparks have been trying to play pace-up basketball. But the steam has gone too far with the total nearing 170.
Here, we have the two worst teams in the WNBA, both with six wins on the season, headed towards the close out and potentially in tank mode. The Sparks have been dealing with a shortened rotation, the Wings having one of those worst case imaginable seasons after being a playoff team last year. I expect efficiency to be low, and pace to be slowed a bit because a general malaise and lack of urgency.
I would play this for a half-unit because my opinion on fading the market is not stronger than timing it properly and being ahead of a number. Of course, I wouldn’t be surprised for some under backers to enter the market and bring this number down, potentially indicating this to be a smart market bet as well.
Pick: Under 169.5 (-110)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] |
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Michael Fiddle’s Sparks vs. Wings Best Bet”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Dearica Hamby Over 15.5 Points (-122)” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” awayname=”Los Angeles Sparks” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png” homename=”Dallas Wings” date=”Sunday, Aug. 25″ time=”4 p.m. ET” network=”NBA TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
DeArica Hamby is averaging 17.7 points on the season, but has come out of the Olympic break not breaking this mark in any contest. This is a prime bounce-back spot for Hamby with the game total rising and the Sparks rotation shortened.
Hamby has still notched over 30 minutes of playing time in four of her last five games, so a dip in playing time is not my concern, certainly relative to the difference between her average and this 15.5 line. I am actually also fading the line movement on the game total towards the under.
Because playing an over player prop and an under game total are inversely correlated, you can technically parlay them together for +264 and get fair payout for a two-leg parlay. If you like this angle, consider a half-unit of exposure split between the best available prop line you can find, and the best available parlay combo you can find. They may not be the same book!
Pick: Dearica Hamby Over 15.5 Points (-122)
| [teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” secondfullname=”Chicago Sky” secondlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/16921_Sky.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] | [teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Los Angeles Sparks” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/459836_Sparks.png” secondfullname=”Dallas Wings” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/dallas-wings-updated-logo-2023.png”][/teammatchup] |