A bulk of PRO Projections’ top home run picks today are set to take center stage during Sunday Night Baseball.
The highly anticipated series finale between the Houston Astros and the Baltimore Orioles features four potential hitters our models spotlighted for the AL tilt.
PRO Projections comparing player projections, odds, and various other metrics to find unique betting edges. The system is designed to pinpoint where betting markets might be undervaluing a player’s home run potential.
Yusei Kikuchi takes the mound for the Astros, while Dean Kremer is the scheduled starter for the Orioles at Camden Yards. First pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET, in the final game of the weekend.
After comparing our home run edges and data to what’s available to bet, let’s transition into all four Sunday Night Baseball home run picks for Astros vs. Orioles – two from each roster.
Sunday Night Baseball Home Run Picks for Astros vs. Orioles
Home Run Pick No. 1 for Astros vs. Orioles: Bet Gunnar Henderson
Our top choice for Sunday Night Baseeball is Gunnar Henderson of the Orioles.
According to PRO Projections, Henderson is the leading candidate to hit a home run in this matchup. His highest available odds for a home run are listed at +825 on BetMGM. Our model gives him a probability of approximately 0.22 homers, translating to a significant 7.3% edge.
PRO Projections Edge: Gunnar Henderson HR (+825)
Home Run Prediction No. 2 for Astros vs. Orioles: Bet Yainer Diaz
Next, we have catcher Yainer Diaz from the Astros.
Diaz is listed with best odds of +775 on BetMGM to hit a home run. Our projections estimate that Diaz has a likelihood of 0.22 home runs, which offers a considerable 6.7% edge. This projection makes Yainer Diaz the top hitter among all Astros vs. Kremer tonight.
PRO Props Edge: Yainer Diaz HR (+775)
Home Run Pick No. 3 for Astros vs. Orioles: Bet Eloy Jimenez
Third on our list is trade deadline add Eloy Jimenez of the Orioles.
Jimenez’s odds are the shortest among Sunday Night Baseball home run picks (+650 on bet365). Still, PRO Projections estimate his home run probability at 0.23, which provides a solid 6.4% edge.
PRO Props Edge: Eloy Jimenez HR (+650)
Home Run Prediction No. 4 for Astros vs. Orioles: Bet Jose Altuve
Wrapping up our picks is Jose Altuve from the Astros
BetMGM lists Altuve at +800 for a home run. According to PRO Projections, Altuve has a projection of approximately 0.21 home runs, which offers a 6.2% edge. The typical Astros lead-off hitter may get an extra at-bat on the road. Altuve stands as a promising pick for tonight’s game.
PRO Props Edge: Jose Altuve HR (+800)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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