Last week ended on a frustrating note, but hope springs eternal after taking Sunday off.
Let’s get back in the win column today.
I have two more MLB NRFI and YRFI picks and predictions for Monday, August 19.
MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Monday
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Billy Ward’s Orioles vs Mets NRFI/YRFI Bet
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”YRFI -111 (Play to -120)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/bal.png” awayname=”Orioles” awayslug=”baltimore-orioles” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/nym.png” homename=”Mets” homeslug=”new-york-mets” date=”Monday, August 19″ time=”7:10 p.m. ET” network=”MLB.TV” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gameheader]
Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers vs. David Peterson
The Orioles and Mets are the second and third-best teams in baseball against left-handed pitching, and both teams will face lefty starters today.
Neither of those starters is especially imposing. Baltimore’s Rogers has ERA and xFIP numbers in the upper fours — both overall and in his first time through the order.
Peterson’s overall ERA is 3.04, but his underlying numbers are in the mid-fours or higher. While it’s hard to bank on regression at this point in the season, at a minimum, he’s not as good as his ERA indicates.
Given the quality of both offenses, that’s enough to take the YRFI at low juice in a game with a total of 8.5 (and rising).
Billy Ward’s Red Sox vs. Astros NRFI/YRFI Bet
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”NRFI -120 (Play to -130)” league=”mlb” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/2023-mlb-logo-boston-red-sox.png” awayname=”Red Sox” awayslug=”boston-red-sox” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/hou.png” homename=”Astros” homeslug=”houston-astros” date=”Monday, August 19″ time=”8:10 p.m. ET” network=”Apple TV+” bookname=”Caesars” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gameheader]
Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck vs. Yusei Kikuchi
As opposed to the earlier game, both teams in this one are on the wrong side of their platoon splits, with Boston’s drop-off fairly significant.
That’s part of the appeal to the NRFI here, but the starting pitching matchup makes the play viable.
Houck has a sub-2.00 ERA his first time through the order, while Kikuchi’s number drops to a solid 3.14 from his overall ERA in the mid-fours.
The total rising after opening at 7.5 isn’t ideal, though if it climbs past the current 8.0, there should be even better prices available on the NRFI.
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