mlb-home-run-bets-sunday-august 18

Expert MLB Projections Top Home Run Bets Sunday

PRO Report spotted a bunch of promising home run bets Sunday. Apparently, the American League is where the value’s at.

All three of the top home run bets Sunday from expert MLB projections are from the AL, in these three games:

  • Red Sox vs. Orioles
  • Royals vs. Reds
  • Blue Jays vs. Cubs

With our MLB experts developing and refining PRO Projections, these tools are critical for finding the best home run picks. By positioning our expert projections alongside market odds, our goal is to uncover hitters who may be undervalued to go yard.

Today’s payouts on the three home run bets are +280, +500 and +725.

With a solid understanding of the landscape, let’s shift gears and introduce our standout picks for today.


Expert MLB Projections Top Home Run Bets Sunday

Best Home Run Bet for Red Sox vs. Orioles: Bet Jackson Holliday

Holliday became the youngest Oriole with four hits in a game this past Friday. The rookie is high on our projections for today, as we predict Holliday for about 0.21 homers vs. the Red Sox – a 6% edge stacked up to best odds of +725.

PRO Projections Edge: Jackson Holliday HR (+725)


Best Home Run Bet for Royals vs. Reds: Bet Bobby Witt Jr.

Witt’s in a great stadium (Great American Ball Park) and has been bashing the cover off the ball lately. We’re projecting the stud shortstop for nearly 0.4 homers today – the top of any hitter on Sunday’s slate!

Witt’s best odds to homer are at FanDuel (+280). Stacking up that price to expert projections, it produces an 8% edge on Witt to park one today.

PRO Projections Edge: Bobby Witt Jr. HR (+280)


Best Home Run Bet for Blue Jays vs. Cubs: Bet Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Guerrero Jr. has been red-hot since the break. He’s our top bet at Wrigley Field today in the last game of the interleague set.

PRO Projections slot Guerrero for about 0.3 homers on average today. At +500 (FanDuel), it yields a 7.8% edge for bettors to lock up.

PRO Projections Edge: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. HR (+500)


Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

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