PRO Projections continue to shine a spotlight on key matchups for home run predictions and picks, with today’s focus highlighting Great American Ball Park as a hot spot.
This Wednesday, our proprietary betting data identifies numerous edges favoring hitters to go yard. Today’s analysis primarily centers around the Cardinals–Reds game, with an additional pick from the Nationals vs. Orioles clash.
PRO Projections are derived by comparing our in-house player projections, which factor in various elements such as odds, park factors and more against the betting markets to identify valuable betting edges.
Check out several of today’s top home run picks based on our advanced analytics, featuring payouts of +500, +800 and +950.
MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks from Expert Projections
Cardinals vs. Reds Home Run Prediction #1: Bet Nolan Arenado
One of the most promising candidates today is Nolan Arenado of the Cardinals, who homered just last night. Best odds for Arenado to hit another home run stand at +500 on BetMGM. According to our data, Arenado is projected for approximately 0.3 home runs tonight, yielding a 9.3% betting edge.
Given the hitter-friendly environment of Great American Ball Park, Arenado is a nice snag at the current price.
PRO Projections Edge: Nolan Arenado HR (+500)
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Pick #2: Bet Masyn Winn
Continuing with the Cardinals-Reds matchup, our projections offer an optimistic outlook for Masyn Winn, who frequently leads off for the Cardinals.
Winn’s odds to hit a home run are set at +800 on BetMGM. However, our proprietary data projects Winn to hit about 0.22 home runs, offering an 8.6% edge. This makes him another top pick from our projections at GABP.
PRO Projections Edge: Masyn Winn HR (+800)
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Pick: Bet Juan Yepez
Switching gears to the Nationals-Orioles game, Juan Yepez of the Nats emerges as the best bet to hit a home run. His odds are +950 on BetMGM, which is a solid value. Our projections estimate Yepez will connect for approximately 0.19 home runs (6.9% edge), making this a worthwhile play.
PRO Projections Edge: Juan Yepez HR (+950)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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