If there’s one single betting market to tap into on PRO Report Monday, it would be an utter crime not to recommend home run picks.
PRO Projections’ picks from the last few days have been exceptional, overall. On Thursday, our models cashed +1350 (Nolan Schanuel) and +625 (Jazz Chisholm) home run picks Thursday in back-to-back innings of the same game.
Friday, projections flagged Yainer Diaz, who bashed one over The Green Monster in the 9th.
[twitterembed tweetid=”1822092380012532210″][/twitterembed]
No home run picks were covered Saturday because there wasn’t much value. And yesterday, Daulton Varsho (+750) kept a hot streak running.
On Monday, the best home run picks from data-driven insights feature four home run picks, in Cardinals vs. Reds and Astros vs. Rays.
MLB Home Runs Picks, Props
Three of today’s recommended picks come from the Cardinals vs. Reds game, a strategic move given that Great American Ball Park is known for its home run-friendly dimensions. This venue is widely regarded as one of the most conducive parks for hitters, making it a prime focus for our projections.
Home Run Picks: Masyn Winn (Cardinals)
Winn stands out as the most promising home run hitter according to PRO Projections. Currently, his best odds for hitting a home run are +560 on FanDuel. Our projections estimate Winn at 0.27 home runs for today’s game, giving bettors an 8.5% edge – the highest among today’s picks.
PRO Projections Edge: Masyn Winn to hit a HR (+560)
Home Run Picks: Bet Jake Fraley (Reds)
With odds of +800 on FanDuel, our projections peg Fraley for approximately 0.21 home runs tonight, translating to a 6.2% edge.
PRO Projections Edge: Jake Fraley to hit a HR (+800)
Home Run Picks: Bet TJ Friedl (Reds)
Another Reds outfielder to watch is TJ Friedl. Similar to Fraley, Friedl has odds of +800 on FanDuel. Our calculations project him at 0.19 home runs on average, providing a 5.4% edge for potential bettors.
PRO Projections Edge: TJ Friedl to hit a HR (+800)
Home Run Picks: Bet Jose Altuve (Astros)
Lastly, from the Astros-Rays game, we have Jose Altuve. Altuve’s odds to go yard sit at +725 on BetMGM. According to PRO Projections, he’s estimated to hit around 0.22 home runs against the Rays tonight, offering an edge north of 5%.
PRO Projections Edge: Jose Altuve to hit a HR (+725)
_InlineAdBlock
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.