I have no shame hyping PRO Projections home run picks when the headlines write themselves.
Expert projections cashed +1350 (Nolan Schanuel) and +675 (Jazz Chisholm) home run picks Thursday in back-to-back innings, and then another big ticket Friday in the 9th inning, thanks to Yainer Diaz. The time our MLB experts take to refine and update odds and projections has paid off multiple ways during the second half of the season.
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No home run picks stuck out yesterday from a value standpoint. The best MLB home run picks today, after comparing our odds projections to the market, feature three hitters in Athletics vs. Blue Jays and Rangers vs. Yankees. Today’s payouts are +450, +750 and +875.
Let’s keep the good times rolling, and a friendly reminder to wager responsibly if tailing Sunday’s home run picks.
Best MLB Home Runs Picks, Odds Projections Today
Home Run Picks: Bet Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Guerrero Jr. is the first of two home run hitters flagged by PRO Projections in A’s-Jays.
Overall, we peg Guerrero Jr. for better than 0.3 homers on average. At +450 odds (DraftKings), bettors can lock in a 9.2% edge.
PRO Projections Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. to hit a HR (+450)
Home Run Picks: Bet Daulton Varsho
The second home run bet for A’s-Jays is Varsho for Toronto, who’s batting second (behind Guerrero today). His best odds are +750 (BetMGM), and we tab Varsho for about 0.22 dingers today at the Rogers Centre, offering up a solid 6.4% edge.
PRO Projections Edge: Daulton Varsho to hit a HR (+750)
Home Run Picks: Bet Anthony Volpe
Volpe is heating up, hitting five homers in his last 17 games. His odds are a great grab at +875 today (MGM). We penciled in the Yankees infielder for about 0.22 homers today on average vs. the Rangers at Globe Life, which is a favorable park for right-handed hitters.
PRO Projections Edge: Anthony Volpe to hit a HR (+875)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.