Last night was cake for PRO Projections on remarkable home run picks. Both Nolan Schanuel and Jazz Chisholm made a splash by homering in the first two innings, with betting odds of +1350 and +625.
Today, our advanced projections have identified four promising MLB home run picks. The matchups to watch are Rangers vs. Yankees, Athletics vs. Blue Jays, and Astros vs. Red Sox.
What sets PRO Projections apart is our unique blend of proprietary betting data, comprehensive player projections, and a meticulous comparison to betting markets. Our experts weigh various factors such as matchups, park factors, and advanced metrics to unveil betting edges. On Friday, we’re looking at potential home run payouts of +500, +800, +950 and +1000, providing hefty returns.
After accounting for an array of key info, these four hitters stand out from our advanced MLB projections.
4 MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions, Props from Advanced Projections
Home Run Picks: Bet Anthony Volpe
Editors Note: The Yankees game has been postponed
First up is Anthony Volpe of the New York Yankees. Volpe tops our PRO Projections list as the most likely to homer today. With the best odds to go deep at +1000 on BetMGM, our projections estimate him to hit about 0.21 home runs tonight.
This gives bettors a substantial 7.4% edge, making the Yankees infielder an elite pick for today’s slate.
PRO Projections Edge: Anthony Volpe to hit a HR (+1000)
Home Run Picks: Bet Jazz Chisholm
Next, we have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays. Guerrero’s performance has been sizzling in the second half of the season, bolstered by his strong preference for hitting in front of his home crowd at the Rogers Centre. In the opener against the Athletics tonight, our projections estimate Guerrero will hit roughly 0.31 home runs.
When compared to his best odds of +500 on BetMGM, this represents a 7% edge, positioning him as a key player to watch.
PRO Projections Edge: Vlad Guerrero Jr. to hit a HR (+500)
Home Run Picks: Bet Miguel Andujar
Miguel Andujar of the Athletics is another name that sticks out. Also playing in the Athletics vs. Blue Jays matchup, Andujar finds himself in a favorable situation. His best odds to homer are +950 at DraftKings.
With PRO Projections estimating roughly 0.2 home runs for him tonight, he holds a strong likelihood, making him a valuable pick to consider.
PRO Projections Edge: Miguel Andujar to hit a HR (+950)
Home Run Picks: Bet Yainer Diaz
Rounding out the list is Yainer Diaz of the Houston Astros. Facing off against the Red Sox tonight at Fenway Park, Diaz is priced +800 at BetMGM to homer. According to our projections, he has an estimated 0.2 home runs with a 6.2% edge.
PRO Projections Edge: Yainer Diaz to hit a HR (+800)
_InlineAdBlock
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.