MLB games are getting postponed and 18 mph winds are cratering over/unders. So, now’s a good time to revisit the best MLB weather betting strategies and over/under tips PRO has to offer.
Over the course of a long MLB season, which spans 75% of the calendar year, environmental factors such as rain, wind and extreme temperatures (both hot and cold) can affect the outcome of games and, by extension, influence betting decisions. Given the season’s length and variability, paying close attention to weather conditions can provide an edge.
To navigate this, PRO System developed two specific MLB over/under betting strategies centered around weather conditions.
Some ballparks are particularly sensitive to weather changes, making them focal points for these tips. For instance, wind can significantly alter the game’s dynamics, and certain stadiums are more susceptible than others.
Transitioning into these weather-centric betting strategies, let’s dive deeper into how you can employ them to your advantage.
MLB Weather Betting Strategies and Over/Under Tips
Betting Strategy No. 1: How to Make MLB Over/Under Picks Through Wind Factors
The first system is called the “Wind Blowing In” strategy. This approach is straightforward, yet very effective.
The core principle here is to bet on the under when the wind is blowing inward at a speed of 5 mph or more. It’s cashed 55% of picks in our dashboard, over a massive sample size.
When the wind blows into the field from the outfield, it often serves as a natural deterrent to home runs and deep fly balls, effectively diminishing the scoring potential of the game. By systematically leveraging this insight, bettors can consistently find value in under bets in games where the wind conditions meet this criterion.
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The windiest game this season? 18 mph at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, August 6. And speaking of the friendly confines…
Betting Strategy No. 2: When to Capitalize on Wrigley Field Weather
The second system zeroes in on Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs, which is known for its highly variable wind patterns.
This strategy is known as “Wrigley Field Unders.” The concept of this PRO System is to place a bet on the under in Cubs games when the total opens at eight runs or more, and the wind is blowing in any direction other than out toward the outfield.
Wrigley Field is arguably the most-impacted ballpark when it comes to the wind’s impact on game totals. When the wind is blowing out, it can turn routine fly balls into home runs, leading to higher scoring games. Conversely, when the wind is blowing in or sideways, it suppresses scoring by making it more difficult for hitters to generate power.
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