I’m not a huge MLB SGP bettor myself, but there are situations where the data supports a crack at a larger payout.
I personally look at MLB SGPs as more fun than value, however, that doesn’t mean we just throw out random legs willy-nilly.
For example, the three biggest MLB player prop edges, as of the time of writing, via Action PRO’s model come from Twins vs. Mets (7:10 p.m. ET), providing a rare opportunity to package all bets into one SGP.
Below are three player prop picks popping with value for Twins vs. Mets, including an enticing MLB SGP with a potential payout of +1000.
MLB SGP for Twins vs. Mets
*Odds as of Monday morning
Leg 1: Simeon Woods Richardson — Under 4.5 Strikeouts
Our data has Woods Richardson coming in at just under four strikeouts — 3.98 to be exact — getting us started with a very solid first leg.
Leg 2: Jose Quintana — Under 4.5 Strikeouts
With a projection of 3.73 strikeouts, we’re going right back to the well with the under by taking Quintana to finish with four or fewer punchouts as well.
Leg 3: Carlos Santana
Since we’re out of starting pitchers, it’s time to turn to the bats.
As mentioned above, Twins vs. Mets is providing the three biggest player prop edges for Monday with the third-best coming via Santana’s RBIs.
Santana’s current RBI over/under is 0.5 with a vig of more than +200 at most sportsbooks, so it’s easy to see why there’s value considering Action PRO’s projection of 0.61.
Add all three of these SGP legs together at Caesars and we get a bet with odds of +1000.
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