College football PRO Systems are up and activated for Week 1. Below, you’ll unlock access to a bunch of different college football betting strategies and, at the time of writing, 12 picks for the first big weekend of 2024.
All our PRO Systems are historically profitable trends, which account for important data and betting variables to determine what’s typically been the right prediction.
Key Week 1 angles that popped for this weekend feature:
- Upset Predictions
- Best Bets for Top 25 Games
- How to Pick Games with Weather
Strategies apply to some marquee games: Clemson vs. Georgia and Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M (Saturday), plus LSU vs. USC (Sunday). Overall, you can expect moneyline, spread and over/under predictions.
The best part is you can utilize these betting strategies — and all the other college football PRO Systems — all season long.
College Football Betting Strategies, Situational Angles for Week 1
Betting Strategy No. 1: Identifying the Best College Football Upset Predictions Saturday
*All picks listed first, bolded
Our one and only college football moneyline model — titled “Small Visiting Dogs” — spotlights multiple teams with potential to pull off an upset in Week 1.
There’s an edge historically in betting on visiting college football underdogs to win when the spread is between 0-4 and the over/under is 46 or more, given the teams are unranked. Projected games with higher scores introduce more inconsistency, which in turn makes moneyline bets on underdogs more appealing.
At the time of writing, these two teams check the boxes in college football Week 1.
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Small Visiting Dogs Picks
- Eastern Michigan to win vs. UMass
- UNLV to win vs. Houston
Betting Strategy No. 2: Best Bets for College Football Top-25 Matchups Saturday
The “Ranked Matchups” PRO System suggests that when two Top 25 college football teams face off, it’s profitable to bet on the home team against the spread if they are favored by at least three points. Historically, these home teams have covered the spread 58% of the time and delivered a 12% return on investment.
If the game is at a neutral site, it’s still ideal to bet the favorite if it’s -3 or longer.
Georgia (vs. Clemson) and Texas A&M (vs. Notre Dame) fit the bill on Saturday, while LSU (vs. USC) matches on Sunday.
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Ranked Matchups Picks:
- Georgia to cover vs. Clemson
- Texas A&M to cover vs. Notre Dame
- LSU to cover vs. USC
Betting Strategy No. 3: How to Pick Games with Weather Saturday of College Football Week 1
Not all weather games are ugly!
The PRO System known as “Weather Overs” advises wagering on college football games to go over the total if the following four conditions are met: temperature between 86-105 degrees, wind speed under 10 mph, the game is non-conference and the over/under is 58 or less.
This model banks on prime weather and team unfamiliarity to lead to greater scoring than anticipated by the market — and it features by far the most matches for Week 1.
We’ll sort them by game time Saturday.
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Weather Overs Picks:
- Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Over
- Penn State vs. West Virginia Over
- Miami vs. Florida Over
- UTEP vs. Nebraska Over
- Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Over
- Old Dominion vs. South Carolina Over
- Wyoming vs. Arizona State Over
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